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AMPL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-17 → 2024-02-21

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Amplitude, Inc. Class A Common Stock SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (SIC 7372)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 28, 2021 🔗 www.amplitude.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.37B 👥 Employees: 800
Amplitude Inc is a Software company that provides a Digital Analytics Platform that helps companies analyze their customer behavior within digital products. The Company delivers its application over the Internet as a subscription service using a software-as-a-service (SaaS) model and also it offers customer support related to initial implementation setup, ongoing support services, and application training. The company generates revenue primarily through selling subscriptions to the platform. The company derives a majority of its revenue from the United States.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
85.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+7.53%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+14.70%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +0.98%
Avg Winner: +5.00%
Avg Loser: -4.39%
Best: +8.48%
Worst: -11.23%
Trades: 4/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +2.94%
Avg Winner: +7.63%
Avg Loser: -17.60%
Best: +18.31%
Worst: -17.60%
Trades: 5/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +4.43%
Avg Winner: +11.28%
Avg Loser: -12.68%
Best: +17.44%
Worst: -23.06%
Trades: 5/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +5.66%
Avg Winner: +12.53%
Avg Loser: -11.52%
Best: +22.27%
Worst: -19.37%
Trades: 5/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 85.7%
Avg Gain: +7.53%
Avg Winner: +14.57%
Avg Loser: -34.71%
Best: +25.13%
Worst: -34.71%
Trades: 6/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +14.70%
Best MFE: +30.96%
Avg Time to MFE: 200 min

On average, AMPL alerts reach +14.70% profit potential within 200 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.40%
Worst MAE: -5.54%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.40%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

6.13:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 6.13x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, AMPL typically reaches +14.70% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 11.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.80%
Best Gap +0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How AMPL compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AMPL: +0.98% Sector: -0.09% +1.07%
EOD Gain
AMPL: +7.53% Sector: +73.64% -66.11%
Avg MFE
AMPL: +14.70% Sector: +4.32% +10.38%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AMPL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-02-21 09:29:35 $9.43 +8.48% +18.31% +17.44% +22.27% +25.13% +30.96% -3.92% -2.23% WIN
2023-05-10 09:27:00 $9.4 +6.03% +9.73% +14.36% +12.02% +13.72% +15.64% -2.13% -0.96% WIN
2022-09-23 09:25:00 $15.0 -1.07% - -2.30% -3.67% +0.07% +0.80% -1.07% -1.07% LOSS
2022-02-24 09:25:00 $18.24 -0.88% +3.41% +7.62% +10.31% +18.59% +19.68% -2.36% - LOSS
2022-02-22 09:25:00 $19.34 +2.84% +3.62% +5.05% +6.26% +6.88% +10.39% -0.67% - WIN
2022-02-18 09:25:00 $16.79 +2.65% +3.10% +11.91% +11.79% +23.05% +23.23% -1.12% -0.63% WIN
2022-02-17 09:25:00 $26.19 -11.23% -17.60% -23.06% -19.37% -34.71% +2.21% -5.54% -0.73% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 85.7% Baseline on AMPL

The 85.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AMPL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AMPL Strategy →

Why Analyze AMPL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AMPL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AMPL historically offers an average upside of +14.70% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AMPL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 85.7%, AMPL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AMPL performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +7.53%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.