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AMPY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-01 → 2024-04-19

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 20, 2012 🔗 www.amplifyenergy.com
💰 Market Cap: $190.6M 👥 Employees: 229
Amplify Energy Corp is an independent oil and natural gas company engaged in the acquisition, development, exploitation, and production of oil and natural gas properties in the United States. The company's oil and natural gas properties are located in large, mature oil and natural gas reservoirs. The company assets consists of producing oil and natural gas properties located in Oklahoma, the Rockies, federal waters offshore Southern California, East Texas/North Louisiana and Eagle Ford.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+4.22%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+5.27%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.64%
Avg Winner: +1.02%
Avg Loser: -0.51%
Best: +1.62%
Worst: -0.51%
Trades: 3/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.99%
Avg Winner: +2.78%
Avg Loser: -4.41%
Best: +4.65%
Worst: -4.41%
Trades: 3/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +1.93%
Avg Winner: +3.14%
Avg Loser: -1.70%
Best: +5.14%
Worst: -1.70%
Trades: 3/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +2.63%
Avg Winner: +4.75%
Avg Loser: -3.73%
Best: +8.09%
Worst: -3.73%
Trades: 3/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +4.22%
Avg Winner: +4.22%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +8.09%
Worst: +1.19%
Trades: 4/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.27%
Best MFE: +10.93%
Avg Time to MFE: 215 min

On average, AMPY alerts reach +5.27% profit potential within 215 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.00%
Worst MAE: -4.75%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.00%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.64:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.64x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, AMPY typically reaches +5.27% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -0.19%
Best Gap +0.58%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How AMPY compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AMPY: +0.64% Sector: -0.16% +0.80%
EOD Gain
AMPY: +4.22% Sector: +59.69% -55.47%
Avg MFE
AMPY: +5.27% Sector: +2.88% +2.39%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AMPY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-04-19 09:29:00 $6.81 +1.62% +4.65% +5.14% +6.02% +5.73% +6.31% -1.03% -0.59% WIN
2024-04-08 09:29:12 $6.85 +1.02% +0.58% +0.00% +0.15% +1.90% +2.48% -0.58% +0.58% WIN
2024-03-11 09:25:07 $5.9 -0.51% -4.41% -1.70% -3.73% +1.19% +1.36% -4.75% -0.34% LOSS
2023-03-01 09:26:00 $9.15 +0.44% +3.11% +4.26% +8.09% +8.09% +10.93% -1.64% -0.44% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on AMPY

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AMPY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AMPY Strategy →

Why Analyze AMPY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AMPY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AMPY historically offers an average upside of +5.27% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AMPY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, AMPY shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AMPY performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +4.22%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.