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AMR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-17 → 2022-05-17

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE SURFACE MINING (SIC 1221)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Aug 18, 2016 🔗 www.alphametresources.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.97B 👥 Employees: 3,960
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc is a Tennessee-based coal mining company with operations across Virginia and West Virginia. The company's portfolio of mining operations consists of underground mines, surface mines, and coal preparation plants. It produces low-ash metallurgical coal, including High-Vol. A, Mid-Vol., High-Vol. B, and Low-Vol. coal, which is shipped to domestic and international coke and steel producers. The reportable segment of the company is Met. It extracts, processes and markets met and thermal coal from deep and surface mines for sale to steel and coke producers, industrial customers, and electric utilities.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.08%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+7.14%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.08%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.08%
Worst: +0.08%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.98%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.98%
Best: -0.98%
Worst: -0.98%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -3.58%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -3.58%
Best: -3.58%
Worst: -3.58%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.16%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.16%
Best: -1.16%
Worst: -1.16%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +6.11%
Avg Winner: +6.11%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +6.11%
Worst: +6.11%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.14%
Best MFE: +7.14%
Avg Time to MFE: 250 min

On average, AMR alerts reach +7.14% profit potential within 250 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.68%
Worst MAE: -5.68%
Avg Time to MAE: 37 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.68%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.26:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, AMR typically reaches +7.14% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.21%
Best Gap -0.21%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE SURFACE MINING

How AMR compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AMR: +0.08% Sector: +0.08% +0.00%
EOD Gain
AMR: +6.11% Sector: +0.85% +5.26%
Avg MFE
AMR: +7.14% Sector: +5.06% +2.09%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AMR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-05-17 09:25:00 $146.31 +0.08% -0.98% -3.58% -1.16% +6.11% +7.14% -5.68% -0.21% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on AMR

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AMR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AMR Strategy →

Why Analyze AMR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AMR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AMR historically offers an average upside of +7.14% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AMR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, AMR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AMR performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.08%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.