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BTU Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 86 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2025-01-06

⚠️ Small sample size (86 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 03, 2017 🔗 www.peabodyenergy.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.62B 👥 Employees: 5,600
Peabody Energy Corp is a producer of metallurgical and thermal coal. It also markets and brokers coal, both as principal and agent, and trades coal and freight-related contracts. The company operates in the following segment: Seaborne Thermal, Seaborne Metallurgical, Powder River Basin, Other U.S. Thermal and Corporate and Other. The Seaborne Thermal segment generates the majority of the revenue for the company. A substantial part of its overall revenue is generated from its customers in the United States, and rest from Japan, China, Australia, Taiwan and other regions.
📊
86
Total Alerts
🎯
58.1%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.08%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+5.05%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 58.1%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.97%
Avg Loser: -1.17%
Best: +3.84%
Worst: -3.19%
Trades: 50/36

15MIN

Win Rate: 58.1%
Avg Gain: +0.56%
Avg Winner: +2.42%
Avg Loser: -2.08%
Best: +7.62%
Worst: -7.36%
Trades: 50/35

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.5%
Avg Gain: +0.31%
Avg Winner: +3.27%
Avg Loser: -2.25%
Best: +9.74%
Worst: -9.09%
Trades: 40/46

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: +0.35%
Avg Winner: +3.57%
Avg Loser: -2.78%
Best: +11.91%
Worst: -10.17%
Trades: 42/43

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 55.8%
Avg Gain: +0.80%
Avg Winner: +4.67%
Avg Loser: -4.08%
Best: +15.57%
Worst: -16.41%
Trades: 48/38

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.05%
Best MFE: +19.65%
Avg Time to MFE: 138 min

On average, BTU alerts reach +5.05% profit potential within 138 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.77%
Worst MAE: -10.38%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.77%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.85:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.85x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 86 alerts, BTU typically reaches +5.05% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 86
Gap Up % 48.8%
Avg Gap -0.09%
Best Gap +1.92%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE SURFACE MINING

How BTU compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BTU: +0.08% Sector: +0.08% -0.00%
EOD Gain
BTU: +0.80% Sector: +0.85% -0.05%
Avg MFE
BTU: +5.05% Sector: +5.06% -0.00%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BTU alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-06 09:28:56 $20.18 -1.98% -1.56% -2.03% -0.50% -3.37% +1.14% -2.53% +0.10% LOSS
2024-11-25 09:26:12 $27.3 +1.36% -0.55% -2.03% -2.71% -4.80% +2.09% +0.04% +0.18% WIN
2024-11-06 09:27:07 $28.68 +1.32% +0.28% -0.10% +2.34% +3.91% +4.39% -0.84% +1.08% WIN
2024-04-11 09:28:32 $21.85 +3.84% +4.12% +4.21% +5.54% +7.51% +8.33% -1.01% +0.18% WIN
2024-02-15 09:29:44 $24.61 -0.20% -0.37% +0.16% +0.28% +0.08% +1.16% -1.14% -1.14% LOSS
2023-07-27 09:29:00 $21.33 +2.39% +0.21% +1.92% +0.98% +1.59% +4.50% -0.89% +1.92% WIN
2023-04-27 09:28:00 $23.19 +1.68% +3.19% -1.42% -0.78% +2.72% +5.30% -2.54% +0.56% WIN
2023-04-17 09:28:00 $27.57 -1.89% -1.63% -0.36% -2.57% -4.57% +0.54% -0.10% +0.47% LOSS
2023-03-15 09:28:00 $23.5 -3.19% -2.13% -1.87% -0.11% -3.19% +0.28% -4.13% -0.98% LOSS
2023-02-17 09:28:00 $29.02 +0.38% +0.69% -0.41% -1.34% -2.62% +2.24% -0.07% +0.28% WIN
2023-02-15 09:27:00 $29.58 +0.30% +3.00% +0.31% +1.21% -0.14% +5.54% +0.07% +0.10% WIN
2023-02-14 09:27:00 $27.85 -2.08% -2.47% -0.96% -2.73% +7.18% +7.58% -6.03% -0.18% LOSS
2023-02-10 09:29:00 $25.69 -0.58% -0.23% -1.21% +0.08% +2.72% +3.00% -1.91% -0.35% LOSS
2023-02-07 09:28:00 $28.48 +1.12% -0.18% -1.14% -5.97% -0.74% +2.04% -0.32% -0.04% WIN
2023-01-04 09:26:00 $24.96 -1.30% +0.48% +0.52% +2.00% +6.45% +6.61% -3.17% -0.88% LOSS
2022-11-30 09:25:00 $32.4 +0.09% - -0.57% -1.27% -1.42% +1.51% -0.31% +0.25% WIN
2022-11-17 09:25:00 $27.74 +0.07% -1.86% -1.03% -1.77% +0.90% +1.08% -3.57% +0.25% WIN
2022-11-10 09:25:00 $27.68 -2.56% -2.78% -1.73% -2.06% +0.14% +0.36% +0.33% -0.14% LOSS
2022-11-07 09:25:00 $28.65 -0.14% +0.98% -3.32% -0.14% +4.75% +4.96% -3.75% -0.42% LOSS
2022-11-04 09:25:00 $24.57 +1.59% +6.15% +8.02% +10.62% +9.85% +11.80% -0.04% +0.61% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 58.1% Baseline on BTU

The 58.1% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BTU's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BTU Strategy →

Why Analyze BTU with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BTU. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BTU historically offers an average upside of +5.05% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BTU Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 58.1%, BTU shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BTU performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.08%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.