Latest signal:
AMSC Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 20 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-07-28 → 2025-02-07
⚠️ Small sample size (20 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, AMSC alerts reach +7.88% profit potential within 80 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.02%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.61x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 20 alerts, AMSC typically reaches +7.88% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.3% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: MOTORS & GENERATORS
How AMSC compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical AMSC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-07 | 09:26:14 | $31.61 | +3.65% | +6.80% | +7.81% | +8.13% | +3.92% | +10.95% | -0.91% | -0.44% | WIN |
| 2024-11-11 | 09:27:43 | $36.99 | -4.85% | -6.87% | -4.46% | -6.57% | -0.49% | +0.03% | -8.38% | -1.03% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-04 | 09:25:57 | $15.91 | -7.61% | -10.12% | -13.39% | -13.17% | -9.81% | +0.43% | -5.54% | -5.34% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-22 | 09:26:00 | $9.31 | -1.93% | -1.25% | -1.61% | -4.62% | -2.79% | +0.86% | -0.75% | -0.32% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-18 | 09:27:00 | $8.29 | +0.60% | +3.86% | +3.38% | +4.34% | +4.34% | +7.48% | -1.20% | -0.36% | WIN |
| 2023-08-17 | 09:27:00 | $8.62 | -0.58% | +1.50% | -1.99% | -1.62% | - | +2.67% | -1.28% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-08-16 | 09:27:00 | $9.15 | +1.53% | +2.42% | +3.83% | +4.59% | -2.40% | +6.01% | -0.98% | -0.27% | WIN |
| 2023-08-15 | 09:27:00 | $9.78 | -1.02% | -4.75% | -5.83% | -7.77% | -8.08% | +1.84% | - | -0.31% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-14 | 09:26:00 | $9.04 | -2.54% | +1.55% | -1.55% | +5.31% | +11.39% | +13.05% | -3.21% | -1.55% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-11 | 09:26:00 | $9.33 | -1.29% | +0.64% | -2.25% | -5.82% | -6.06% | +2.68% | -1.61% | +1.39% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-10 | 09:26:00 | $8.15 | +0.12% | +3.19% | +6.91% | +11.35% | +18.77% | +19.26% | -1.47% | -0.61% | WIN |
| 2023-08-09 | 09:25:00 | $8.49 | -0.41% | +2.36% | +1.54% | -1.18% | +0.59% | +4.24% | -0.71% | -0.59% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-08 | 09:25:00 | $8.81 | +1.02% | +3.29% | +3.75% | +1.70% | -1.25% | +6.70% | -1.25% | -0.91% | WIN |
| 2023-08-07 | 09:25:00 | $10.36 | +0.29% | -5.41% | -11.87% | -9.36% | -3.04% | +1.54% | -1.06% | -0.58% | WIN |
| 2023-08-04 | 09:29:00 | $10.15 | +0.68% | -0.59% | -3.74% | -1.87% | +1.58% | +20.10% | -3.94% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2023-08-03 | 09:28:00 | $9.85 | -0.51% | +7.92% | +5.79% | +7.39% | -2.54% | +14.52% | -2.54% | -0.30% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-02 | 09:25:00 | $15.56 | +0.39% | -10.95% | -13.17% | -20.57% | -26.35% | +1.54% | -0.90% | +0.51% | WIN |
| 2023-08-01 | 09:29:00 | $15.9 | -8.93% | -6.68% | -10.57% | -6.33% | +1.45% | +9.25% | -16.29% | +0.63% | LOSS |
| 2023-07-31 | 09:29:00 | $10.1 | +4.06% | +9.70% | +3.07% | -0.00% | -0.20% | +10.79% | -0.49% | -0.10% | WIN |
| 2023-07-28 | 09:26:00 | $9.4 | -3.26% | -3.62% | -2.87% | -3.14% | +4.68% | +23.72% | -7.97% | -2.02% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ AMSC Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 55.0% win rate, AMSC has -0.35% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making AMSC profitable.
🔧 Fix AMSC Risk/Reward →Why Analyze AMSC with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AMSC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, AMSC historically offers an average upside of +7.88% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 AMSC Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 55.0%, AMSC shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-5.58%) outweigh average wins (+3.93%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: AMSC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.35%). This suggests AMSC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.