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AMTD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 76 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-24 → 2024-10-03

⚠️ Small sample size (76 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

AMTD IDEA Group American Depositary Shares, each representing six (6) Class A Ordinary Shares
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Aug 05, 2019 🔗 www.amtdinc.com
💰 Market Cap: $81.0M 👥 Employees: 214
AMTD IDEA Group is a financial institution operating in five business segments: The capital market solutions segment assists customers in raising funds through equity and debt financing, private placements, and debt issuances. The digital solutions and other services segment provides institutional and corporate clients with paid access to enhance investor communication and relations, corporate communication also provides digital financial solution services. The Media and entertainment segment offers print and digital advertising campaigns, licensing, and marketing services including branded content, video production. The hotel operations, hospitality, and VIP services segment engages in hotel investments, hotel operations, hospitality, and VIP services; and Strategic investment segment.
📊
76
Total Alerts
🎯
72.4%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+276.52%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+7.42%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.8%
Avg Gain: -0.40%
Avg Winner: +1.29%
Avg Loser: -1.91%
Best: +6.63%
Worst: -8.48%
Trades: 31/37

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.1%
Avg Gain: -0.85%
Avg Winner: +2.60%
Avg Loser: -3.52%
Best: +13.68%
Worst: -12.86%
Trades: 32/42

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.8%
Avg Gain: -1.05%
Avg Winner: +2.29%
Avg Loser: -3.51%
Best: +15.95%
Worst: -16.48%
Trades: 31/43

60MIN

Win Rate: 35.5%
Avg Gain: -2.55%
Avg Winner: +2.43%
Avg Loser: -5.64%
Best: +9.47%
Worst: -29.93%
Trades: 27/46

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 72.4%
Avg Gain: +276.52%
Avg Winner: +384.83%
Avg Loser: -7.92%
Best: +766.67%
Worst: -35.50%
Trades: 55/19

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.42%
Best MFE: +68.89%
Avg Time to MFE: 66 min

On average, AMTD alerts reach +7.42% profit potential within 66 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.69%
Worst MAE: -16.04%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.69%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.76:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.76x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 76 alerts, AMTD typically reaches +7.42% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 76
Gap Up % 23.7%
Avg Gap -0.38%
Best Gap +4.37%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AMTD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-03 09:27:51 $1.7 -1.76% +0.82% +2.06% +0.58% -4.71% +5.29% -4.67% -2.94% LOSS
2023-08-22 09:29:00 $1.43 -5.08% -4.90% -8.39% -5.58% +179.02% +6.99% -8.39% - LOSS
2023-05-01 09:26:00 $1.69 +1.18% +1.78% -0.64% -1.18% -2.37% +2.37% - +1.78% WIN
2023-04-28 09:26:00 $1.7 +1.76% -1.47% +0.29% +1.18% +207.06% +6.94% -4.12% +1.76% WIN
2023-02-22 09:25:00 $1.7 -1.76% -1.76% -2.38% -4.11% +194.71% - -1.76% -1.18% LOSS
2023-02-10 09:29:00 $1.71 -0.58% -0.58% -1.33% +0.05% +194.74% +4.09% -2.23% -0.58% LOSS
2023-01-31 09:29:00 $1.69 -0.59% +0.59% +0.01% -0.59% -1.18% +1.18% -0.59% -0.59% LOSS
2023-01-18 09:27:00 $1.67 +0.60% +1.20% +1.77% +6.59% +210.78% +12.24% - +0.60% WIN
2023-01-13 09:27:00 $1.65 - +3.64% +1.82% +2.38% - +6.06% - - -
2023-01-11 09:29:00 $1.78 -1.12% -0.56% -2.30% -3.01% +188.20% +1.12% -1.69% - LOSS
2023-01-10 09:27:00 $1.72 -0.58% -2.33% -1.16% -0.58% -0.58% +2.32% -2.33% -1.16% LOSS
2023-01-09 09:28:00 $1.81 +0.57% -0.56% -0.01% -0.55% -4.42% +3.87% -0.55% -0.55% WIN
2023-01-06 09:26:00 $2.06 +2.41% +8.25% -4.13% -11.17% -7.77% +11.65% -0.97% +1.46% WIN
2023-01-05 09:26:00 $1.79 +5.11% +3.36% +0.45% +4.47% +251.96% +43.02% -1.67% -0.56% WIN
2022-11-21 09:25:00 $0.99 +1.02% +1.02% +1.02% +2.02% +2.02% +2.02% -0.01% +1.01% WIN
2022-11-17 09:25:00 $1.0 +0.01% +0.01% - +1.00% +506.00% +3.50% -0.99% +1.00% WIN
2022-11-15 09:25:00 $1.01 +0.09% - +1.98% +3.96% +505.94% +6.93% -0.99% - WIN
2022-11-11 09:25:00 $1.01 - +0.99% +0.49% +0.91% +500.00% +1.98% - - -
2022-11-10 09:25:00 $1.01 - - -0.49% +0.99% +500.00% +0.99% -0.99% -0.99% -
2022-11-09 09:25:00 $1.0 +1.42% +0.36% +0.11% +0.11% +0.11% +3.11% -0.89% -0.49% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 72.4% Baseline on AMTD

The 72.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AMTD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AMTD Strategy →

Why Analyze AMTD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AMTD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AMTD historically offers an average upside of +7.42% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AMTD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 72.4%, AMTD shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AMTD performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +276.52%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.