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AMTM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-11-21 → 2024-11-21

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Amentum Holdings, Inc. SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC (SIC 7389)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 24, 2024 🔗 www.amentum.com
💰 Market Cap: $8.62B 👥 Employees: 50,000
Amentum Holdings Inc is an engineering and technology solutions provider serving U.S. and allied government agencies, as well as international and commercial customers across energy and environmental, intelligence, space, defense, civilian and commercial markets. It provides environmental remediation, intelligence and counter-threat solutions, data analytics, engineering and integration, testing, training and citizen services. The company operates through two segments: Digital Solutions, offering digital and data-driven services, and Global Engineering Solutions, providing environmental remediation, nuclear power solutions, platform engineering, sustainment, and supply chain management. majority of its revenue comes from the Global Engineering Solutions segment and from the United States.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+5.07%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+10.63%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +5.07%
Avg Winner: +5.07%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +5.07%
Worst: +5.07%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +4.55%
Avg Winner: +4.55%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.55%
Worst: +4.55%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +8.53%
Avg Winner: +8.53%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +8.53%
Worst: +8.53%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +4.86%
Avg Winner: +4.86%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.86%
Worst: +4.86%
Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +8.31%
Avg Winner: +8.31%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +8.31%
Worst: +8.31%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +10.63%
Best MFE: +10.63%
Avg Time to MFE: 300 min

On average, AMTM alerts reach +10.63% profit potential within 300 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +1.84%
Worst MAE: +1.84%
Avg Time to MAE: 0 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.84%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.79:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.79x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, AMTM typically reaches +10.63% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +2.54%
Best Gap +2.54%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

How AMTM compares to 59 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AMTM: +5.07% Sector: -0.05% +5.12%
EOD Gain
AMTM: +8.31% Sector: +1758.96% -1750.65%
Avg MFE
AMTM: +10.63% Sector: +2.89% +7.74%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AMTM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-21 09:28:51 $22.86 +5.07% +4.55% +8.53% +4.86% +8.31% +10.63% +1.84% +2.54% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

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🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on AMTM

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AMTM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AMTM Strategy →

Why Analyze AMTM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AMTM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AMTM historically offers an average upside of +10.63% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AMTM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, AMTM shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AMTM performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +5.07%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.