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LYFT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 445 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-07 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Lyft, Inc. Class A Common Stock SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC (SIC 7389)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 29, 2019 🔗 www.lyft.com
💰 Market Cap: $7.15B 👥 Employees: 2,934
Lyft is the second-largest ride-sharing service provider in the US and Canada, connecting riders and drivers over the Lyft app. Incorporated in 2013 and public since 2019, Lyft offers a variety of rides via private vehicles, including traditional private rides, shared rides, and luxury ones. Besides ride-share, Lyft has entered the bike- and scooter-share market to bring multimodal transportation options to users.
📊
445
Total Alerts
🎯
49.4%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.05%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.99%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 49.4%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.98%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: +5.54%
Worst: -4.70%
Trades: 220/214

15MIN

Win Rate: 49.2%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.62%
Avg Loser: -1.43%
Best: +8.13%
Worst: -7.61%
Trades: 219/221

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.5%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.83%
Avg Loser: -1.61%
Best: +8.93%
Worst: -8.94%
Trades: 216/226

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.5%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +2.24%
Avg Loser: -1.84%
Best: +10.38%
Worst: -9.78%
Trades: 207/231

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +3.24%
Avg Loser: -2.83%
Best: +17.68%
Worst: -12.18%
Trades: 217/225

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.99%
Best MFE: +17.96%
Avg Time to MFE: 127 min

On average, LYFT alerts reach +2.99% profit potential within 127 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.05%
Worst MAE: -5.78%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.05%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.86:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.86x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 445 alerts, LYFT typically reaches +2.99% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 445
Gap Up % 43.4%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +1.91%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

How LYFT compares to 59 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LYFT: +0.05% Sector: -0.05% +0.09%
EOD Gain
LYFT: +0.15% Sector: +1758.96% -1758.81%
Avg MFE
LYFT: +2.99% Sector: +2.89% +0.10%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LYFT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:29:10 $13.48 -1.00% -0.89% -1.67% -2.56% -0.37% +0.45% -0.85% -0.22% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:28:07 $13.33 -2.95% -1.88% +0.34% -0.23% +1.05% +1.13% -4.05% -0.07% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:26:34 $12.38 -0.93% +6.18% +7.84% +7.39% +7.03% +14.62% -2.58% -0.85% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:27:49 $15.45 -4.70% -3.69% -4.01% -4.27% -6.86% -0.13% -0.39% -1.20% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:25:22 $14.99 -0.87% -0.60% -0.17% -0.77% +0.87% +1.30% -1.80% -0.70% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:27:09 $13.55 +1.25% +2.36% +1.88% +1.92% +3.84% +4.35% +0.30% +0.59% WIN
2025-02-05 09:29:28 $13.57 -1.36% +1.85% +1.14% -0.11% -1.11% +2.95% -2.51% - LOSS
2025-02-04 09:29:09 $13.83 +1.05% +1.08% +1.41% +1.52% +1.74% +2.46% +0.43% +0.58% WIN
2025-02-03 09:28:52 $13.02 +1.08% +2.38% +3.03% +4.77% +6.07% +6.66% -0.46% +0.15% WIN
2025-01-30 09:26:13 $12.96 -0.62% +1.35% +3.12% +1.38% +4.63% +5.17% -1.39% +0.46% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:25:31 $13.35 +0.66% +0.38% +0.04% +1.72% +0.37% +2.02% -0.41% -0.15% WIN
2025-01-10 09:28:56 $13.05 +0.19% -0.50% -1.07% -0.19% -0.54% +1.84% -0.24% +0.08% WIN
2025-01-08 09:25:16 $14.22 -0.88% -3.80% -4.78% -4.84% -6.05% +0.07% - -0.63% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:26:38 $14.59 -0.41% -1.23% -0.51% -0.75% -1.85% +0.61% -0.21% -0.07% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:25:46 $14.88 -2.92% -2.28% -2.03% -1.75% -3.29% -0.00% -2.89% -0.37% LOSS
2025-01-03 09:26:55 $13.77 +1.23% +0.51% +0.11% +1.02% +3.63% +5.59% -0.07% +0.15% WIN
2024-12-30 09:26:27 $13.07 -0.23% -0.42% -1.11% -1.86% -0.15% +0.61% -0.37% +0.38% LOSS
2024-12-16 09:27:26 $14.36 -2.99% -2.82% -2.33% -1.46% -0.49% - -0.84% -0.84% LOSS
2024-12-12 09:26:19 $15.4 +0.17% +0.23% +0.68% - -3.57% +1.17% -0.58% +0.39% WIN
2024-12-11 09:26:02 $16.09 -1.18% -5.34% -5.25% -7.49% -4.16% +1.24% -0.77% +0.93% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 49.4% Baseline on LYFT

The 49.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push LYFT's performance to 75%+.

Optimize LYFT Strategy →

Why Analyze LYFT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LYFT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LYFT historically offers an average upside of +2.99% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LYFT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.4%, LYFT shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show LYFT performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.05%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.