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AMWL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-01-04 → 2024-06-28

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

American Well Corporation SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC (SIC 7389)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 17, 2020 🔗 business.amwell.com
💰 Market Cap: $79.7M 👥 Employees: 877
American Well Corp is a telehealth company enabling digital delivery of care for its customers. Its platform, Amwell, digital care delivery solution that equips health systems, health plans, government, and innovator clients with the tools to enable new models of care for their patients and members enabling care delivery across the full healthcare continuum - from primary and urgent care in the home to high acuity specialty consults, such as telestroke and telepsychiatry, in the hospital. It provides both on-demand and scheduled consultations. Its Health Plan Programs include Virtual Primary Care, Musculoskeletal Care, Dermatology Care, and Chronic Care among others.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.63%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+6.37%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.15%
Avg Winner: +1.37%
Avg Loser: -3.66%
Best: +3.01%
Worst: -5.13%
Trades: 3/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.63%
Avg Winner: +3.09%
Avg Loser: -4.29%
Best: +5.28%
Worst: -7.26%
Trades: 4/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +2.00%
Avg Winner: +4.62%
Avg Loser: -3.23%
Best: +6.94%
Worst: -5.98%
Trades: 4/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +2.90%
Avg Loser: -2.56%
Best: +4.01%
Worst: -5.13%
Trades: 3/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +991.74%
Avg Winner: +1488.92%
Avg Loser: -2.61%
Best: +2114.05%
Worst: -3.91%
Trades: 4/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.37%
Best MFE: +11.71%
Avg Time to MFE: 157 min

On average, AMWL alerts reach +6.37% profit potential within 157 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.52%
Worst MAE: -7.69%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.52%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.81:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, AMWL typically reaches +6.37% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.87%
Best Gap +3.55%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

How AMWL compares to 59 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AMWL: -1.15% Sector: -0.05% -1.10%
EOD Gain
AMWL: +991.74% Sector: +1758.96% -767.22%
Avg MFE
AMWL: +6.37% Sector: +2.89% +3.49%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AMWL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-06-28 09:28:30 $0.34 +0.59% +2.57% +3.58% -1.01% -3.91% +4.56% -0.89% +3.55% WIN
2023-11-01 09:26:00 $1.17 -5.13% -7.26% -5.98% -5.13% +1917.09% +4.27% -7.69% -1.71% LOSS
2023-10-20 09:29:00 $1.08 -2.78% +0.15% +6.94% +0.93% +1918.52% +8.33% -5.56% -2.78% LOSS
2023-08-03 09:26:00 $1.99 +0.50% +5.28% +2.76% +3.77% +6.03% +8.54% -2.01% -1.51% WIN
2023-03-23 09:25:00 $2.27 -3.08% -1.32% -0.48% -1.54% -1.32% +0.82% -5.29% -3.08% LOSS
2023-01-04 09:27:00 $2.99 +3.01% +4.35% +5.18% +4.01% +2114.05% +11.71% +0.33% +0.33% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on AMWL

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AMWL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AMWL Strategy →

Why Analyze AMWL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AMWL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AMWL historically offers an average upside of +6.37% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AMWL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, AMWL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AMWL performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.63%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.