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ANET Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 89 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2025-02-12

⚠️ Small sample size (89 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 06, 2014 🔗 www.arista.com
💰 Market Cap: $171.69B 👥 Employees: 4,412
Arista Networks is a networking equipment provider that mainly sells Ethernet switches and software to data centers. Its marquee product is its extensible operating system, or EOS, that runs a single image across every single one of its devices. The firm operates as one reportable segment. It has steadily gained market share since its founding in 2004, with a focus on high-speed applications. Arista counts Microsoft and Meta Platforms as its largest customers and derives roughly three-quarters of its sales from North America.
📊
89
Total Alerts
🎯
49.4%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.02%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.80%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.85%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +2.43%
Worst: -2.61%
Trades: 39/50

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.9%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.13%
Avg Loser: -1.12%
Best: +5.96%
Worst: -4.23%
Trades: 40/49

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.1%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.28%
Avg Loser: -1.25%
Best: +5.08%
Worst: -4.21%
Trades: 41/48

60MIN

Win Rate: 49.4%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.35%
Avg Loser: -1.35%
Best: +5.44%
Worst: -4.43%
Trades: 44/45

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 24.7%
Avg Gain: -35.51%
Avg Winner: +2.23%
Avg Loser: -47.90%
Best: +8.87%
Worst: -76.93%
Trades: 22/67

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.80%
Best MFE: +9.37%
Avg Time to MFE: 114 min

On average, ANET alerts reach +1.80% profit potential within 114 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.82%
Worst MAE: -5.27%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.82%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.18:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.18x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 89 alerts, ANET typically reaches +1.80% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 89
Gap Up % 51.7%
Avg Gap +0.03%
Best Gap +2.13%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMPUTER COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT

How ANET compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ANET: -0.15% Sector: +0.00% -0.15%
EOD Gain
ANET: -35.51% Sector: +22.20% -57.71%
Avg MFE
ANET: +1.80% Sector: +2.25% -0.45%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ANET alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:27:34 $111.5 +0.56% +1.39% +1.87% -0.13% -1.67% +2.28% -1.01% +0.30% WIN
2025-02-10 09:27:15 $120.41 -0.44% -0.09% -0.86% -0.15% -0.15% +0.50% -1.04% -0.34% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:28:54 $114.02 -2.56% -3.92% -4.21% -2.36% -1.49% -0.81% -1.77% -0.89% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:29:16 $110.49 +0.97% +0.23% +0.08% +0.79% +0.91% +2.91% -1.53% -0.74% WIN
2025-01-31 09:26:55 $115.83 -1.38% -1.29% +0.66% +1.38% -0.52% +2.17% -2.17% -0.37% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:28:21 $113.17 +1.62% +0.42% +0.27% +0.27% +0.61% +3.38% -0.46% +1.41% WIN
2025-01-29 09:27:01 $107.99 -0.22% -0.90% +0.94% +0.85% -0.14% +2.28% -1.27% -0.56% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:29:29 $105.22 -2.58% -4.23% -3.76% -1.63% +1.25% +1.41% -5.27% -0.19% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:28:46 $111.57 -0.85% -2.50% -0.09% -2.45% -10.10% +0.63% -4.07% -1.75% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:26:22 $134.45 -2.61% -2.29% -1.35% -2.11% -3.93% -0.04% -0.48% -0.85% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:28:46 $125.54 +1.37% +2.33% +3.18% +2.86% +3.41% +4.49% -0.27% +0.51% WIN
2025-01-10 09:27:12 $114.31 -0.42% -1.24% -0.45% -0.27% +0.03% +1.55% +0.17% +0.82% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:27:15 $119.8 -0.65% -1.73% -1.89% -2.20% -3.76% +0.40% -0.53% -0.09% LOSS
2024-12-31 09:27:50 $112.35 -0.68% -1.11% -0.86% -0.67% -1.62% - -0.01% -0.80% LOSS
2024-12-13 09:29:08 $111.11 +1.01% -0.08% +0.32% +0.36% +1.13% +1.49% -1.11% +0.23% WIN
2024-11-29 09:29:55 $405.0 +0.19% +0.35% +0.74% +0.05% -74.95% +0.98% - +0.49% WIN
2024-11-12 09:28:55 $398.06 -0.37% -0.50% -0.09% -0.27% -75.16% +0.98% -0.86% +0.26% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:25:19 $402.9 +2.43% +1.94% +0.55% +1.36% -0.61% +3.73% -0.10% +0.88% WIN
2024-10-31 09:27:27 $391.5 -1.62% -1.02% -1.44% -1.46% -1.29% +0.13% +0.13% -0.26% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:29:42 $391.28 +0.22% -0.05% +0.08% -0.71% -75.32% +1.16% -0.07% +0.62% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ANET Shows Negative Expectancy

With 49.4% win rate and -0.02% average gain, ANET alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ANET for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze ANET with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ANET. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ANET historically offers an average upside of +1.80% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ANET Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.4%, ANET shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ANET may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ANET shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.02%). This suggests ANET is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.