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CSCO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 311 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-13

🏢 Company Profile

Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE) COMPUTER COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT (SIC 3576)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 16, 1990 🔗 www.cisco.com
💰 Market Cap: $294.71B 👥 Employees: 86,200
Cisco Systems is the largest provider of networking equipment in the world and one of the largest software companies in the world. Its largest businesses are selling networking hardware and software (where it has leading market shares) and cybersecurity software such as firewalls. It also has collaboration products, like its Webex suite, and observability tools. It primarily outsources its manufacturing to third parties and has a large sales and marketing staff-25,000 strong across 90 countries. Overall, Cisco employs 80,000 people and sells its products globally.
📊
311
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.11%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.10%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 56.5%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.43%
Avg Loser: -0.34%
Best: +2.29%
Worst: -2.29%
Trades: 175/132

15MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.53%
Avg Loser: -0.51%
Best: +3.34%
Worst: -3.10%
Trades: 186/123

30MIN

Win Rate: 58.4%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.62%
Avg Loser: -0.56%
Best: +4.24%
Worst: -3.36%
Trades: 181/126

60MIN

Win Rate: 54.8%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.70%
Avg Loser: -0.64%
Best: +3.91%
Worst: -3.55%
Trades: 170/138

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 56.6%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -1.03%
Best: +5.45%
Worst: -4.24%
Trades: 176/134

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.10%
Best MFE: +5.55%
Avg Time to MFE: 149 min

On average, CSCO alerts reach +1.10% profit potential within 149 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.40%
Worst MAE: -2.55%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.40%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.73:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.73x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 311 alerts, CSCO typically reaches +1.10% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 311
Gap Up % 58.8%
Avg Gap +0.07%
Best Gap +1.23%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMPUTER COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT

How CSCO compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CSCO: +0.10% Sector: +0.00% +0.10%
EOD Gain
CSCO: +0.10% Sector: +22.20% -22.10%
Avg MFE
CSCO: +1.10% Sector: +2.25% -1.16%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CSCO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:27:28 $65.6 +0.70% -0.62% -3.07% -3.43% -2.68% +1.37% -0.43% +0.76% WIN
2025-02-12 09:29:23 $61.42 +0.50% +0.47% +0.46% +0.59% +1.81% +2.17% -0.36% +0.03% WIN
2025-02-05 09:25:43 $61.48 -0.26% -0.09% -0.07% +0.62% +1.77% +2.00% -0.29% -0.05% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:25:36 $59.74 +0.90% +0.92% +0.47% +0.43% -0.32% +1.33% +0.03% +0.35% WIN
2025-01-28 09:29:22 $58.83 +0.93% +0.88% +0.56% +0.61% +1.02% +1.24% +0.15% +0.32% WIN
2025-01-27 09:25:14 $61.34 -0.22% -1.24% -2.18% -2.40% -3.68% +0.20% -0.24% +0.08% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:27:32 $61.92 +0.19% +0.10% +0.10% +0.07% +0.50% +0.60% -0.10% +0.23% WIN
2025-01-21 09:25:57 $59.81 +2.29% +2.33% +2.32% +2.07% +2.04% +2.54% - +1.10% WIN
2025-01-17 09:25:02 $60.74 -0.30% -0.12% -0.15% -0.48% -0.84% +0.43% +0.03% +0.03% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:26:19 $60.0 +0.16% -0.06% -0.03% +0.24% -0.30% +0.74% -0.28% +0.30% WIN
2025-01-15 09:27:16 $59.81 -0.25% +0.10% +0.49% +0.62% +0.28% +0.89% -0.36% +0.08% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:25:33 $58.72 +0.55% +0.54% +0.51% +0.72% +0.36% +0.89% -0.03% +0.43% WIN
2025-01-06 09:25:29 $58.75 +0.60% +0.67% +1.06% +1.13% +0.03% +1.41% -0.39% +0.27% WIN
2024-12-17 09:27:54 $58.49 -0.21% +0.60% +0.43% +0.70% +0.05% +0.99% -0.55% -0.19% LOSS
2024-12-02 09:27:41 $59.16 +0.54% +0.54% +0.76% +0.68% +0.46% +0.91% -0.03% +0.15% WIN
2024-11-26 09:25:17 $58.75 +1.02% +0.74% +0.83% +0.39% +1.43% +1.51% -0.07% +0.43% WIN
2024-11-14 09:28:35 $58.93 -0.92% -1.32% -1.05% -1.82% -1.71% +0.10% -0.10% +0.10% LOSS
2024-11-13 09:29:00 $58.16 +0.21% +0.43% +0.52% +0.71% +1.75% +2.30% -0.55% -0.02% WIN
2024-11-11 09:28:58 $58.99 +0.41% +0.22% -0.12% -0.54% -0.61% +0.66% -0.34% +0.02% WIN
2024-11-06 09:27:24 $57.01 +0.68% +0.98% +0.38% +0.11% +1.51% +1.89% -0.10% +0.31% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 60.0% Baseline on CSCO

The 60.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CSCO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CSCO Strategy →

Why Analyze CSCO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CSCO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CSCO historically offers an average upside of +1.10% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CSCO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, CSCO shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CSCO performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.11%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.