Latest signal:
AON Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 12 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-08 → 2024-06-12
⚠️ Small sample size (12 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, AON alerts reach +0.86% profit potential within 174 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.96%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 12 alerts, AON typically reaches +0.86% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: INSURANCE AGENTS, BROKERS & SERVICE
How AON compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical AON alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-12 | 09:28:37 | $293.7 | -0.34% | -0.33% | -0.26% | -0.44% | +0.44% | +0.80% | -0.81% | +0.07% | LOSS |
| 2024-06-11 | 09:28:28 | $286.86 | +0.05% | +0.28% | +0.45% | +0.84% | +2.38% | +2.63% | -0.06% | +0.09% | WIN |
| 2024-06-03 | 09:27:45 | $281.0 | +0.32% | +0.28% | +0.73% | +0.33% | +0.09% | +1.00% | -0.79% | -0.08% | WIN |
| 2024-05-28 | 09:25:29 | $279.24 | +0.13% | +0.06% | +0.44% | +0.09% | +0.01% | +0.72% | -0.22% | -0.19% | WIN |
| 2024-05-23 | 09:29:26 | $283.89 | -0.22% | -0.74% | -0.72% | -0.67% | -1.62% | +0.01% | -0.45% | -0.06% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-16 | 09:29:35 | $289.9 | -0.41% | -0.31% | -0.39% | -0.27% | +0.73% | +1.17% | -0.86% | -0.48% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-30 | 09:28:06 | $286.01 | -0.83% | +0.46% | -0.31% | -0.37% | -1.40% | +0.96% | -1.37% | -0.99% | LOSS |
| 2022-04-25 | 09:25:00 | $321.6 | -0.92% | -0.60% | -1.08% | -1.21% | -0.05% | +0.07% | -2.27% | -0.69% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-14 | 09:25:00 | $283.02 | -0.10% | +0.12% | -0.61% | -0.67% | -1.11% | +0.53% | -0.10% | +0.25% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-11 | 09:25:00 | $287.28 | -0.34% | +0.07% | +0.02% | +0.39% | -1.34% | +0.88% | -0.34% | -0.09% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-10 | 09:25:00 | $292.5 | -0.83% | -0.16% | -0.14% | -0.36% | -1.78% | +0.52% | -1.27% | -1.08% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-08 | 09:25:00 | $285.93 | -0.47% | -2.18% | -2.26% | -1.87% | +0.69% | +1.05% | -3.03% | -0.55% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ AON Shows Negative Expectancy
With 50.0% win rate and -0.25% average gain, AON alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AON for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze AON with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AON. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, AON historically offers an average upside of +0.86% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 AON Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, AON shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AON may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: AON shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.25%). This suggests AON is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.