Latest signal:
AOS Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-25 → 2025-02-06
⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, AOS alerts reach +0.89% profit potential within 55 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.29%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.09x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, AOS typically reaches +0.89% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCES
How AOS compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical AOS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-06 | 09:28:10 | $65.64 | +0.27% | +0.44% | +0.20% | +0.28% | -0.20% | +0.70% | +0.09% | +0.53% | WIN |
| 2025-02-04 | 09:26:24 | $69.8 | -3.88% | -4.25% | -3.77% | -2.99% | -5.93% | -2.92% | -4.30% | -3.93% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-22 | 09:27:19 | $77.99 | +2.30% | +1.32% | +0.04% | +0.57% | +0.28% | +3.92% | +3.92% | +2.14% | WIN |
| 2024-09-27 | 09:27:32 | $89.31 | +1.23% | +1.39% | +1.58% | +2.70% | +1.43% | +3.08% | +0.57% | +0.74% | WIN |
| 2022-01-25 | 09:25:00 | $77.34 | -0.68% | -0.70% | -1.16% | -2.06% | -2.51% | -0.32% | -1.73% | -0.32% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ AOS Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 60.0% win rate, AOS has -0.15% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making AOS profitable.
🔧 Fix AOS Risk/Reward →Why Analyze AOS with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AOS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, AOS historically offers an average upside of +0.89% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 AOS Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, AOS shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.28%) outweigh average wins (+1.27%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: AOS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.15%). This suggests AOS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.