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APD Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 29 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2024-11-08
⚠️ Small sample size (29 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, APD alerts reach +0.95% profit potential within 115 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.45%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.13x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 29 alerts, APD typically reaches +0.95% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: INDUSTRIAL INORGANIC CHEMICALS
How APD compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical APD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | 09:27:44 | $312.82 | -0.72% | -0.32% | +0.03% | -0.46% | +0.05% | +0.58% | -1.39% | -0.60% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-31 | 09:29:33 | $309.95 | -0.10% | +0.33% | +0.44% | +0.19% | +0.19% | +1.41% | -0.91% | -0.39% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-07 | 09:25:25 | $306.0 | -0.33% | -1.19% | +1.46% | +1.54% | +2.19% | +2.29% | -1.54% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-07-12 | 09:27:37 | $258.0 | +0.92% | +0.83% | +0.61% | +1.02% | +1.28% | +2.22% | +0.14% | +1.12% | WIN |
| 2024-06-28 | 09:27:28 | $261.96 | -0.79% | -0.00% | -0.33% | +0.13% | -1.49% | +0.19% | -1.04% | -0.15% | LOSS |
| 2024-06-26 | 09:27:45 | $267.09 | -0.81% | -0.65% | -1.13% | -1.67% | -1.27% | -0.40% | -0.74% | -0.44% | LOSS |
| 2024-06-12 | 09:29:47 | $280.81 | +0.15% | +0.32% | +0.08% | +0.49% | +0.80% | +0.99% | -0.04% | +0.65% | WIN |
| 2024-02-26 | 09:28:56 | $229.84 | +0.07% | -0.06% | +0.78% | +0.34% | -0.21% | +0.91% | -0.58% | +0.11% | WIN |
| 2024-02-05 | 09:25:11 | $227.92 | -0.59% | -3.94% | -4.29% | -4.58% | -4.34% | +0.57% | -0.39% | -0.40% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-18 | 09:29:00 | $272.0 | +0.31% | +0.09% | -0.14% | -0.10% | -0.29% | +1.08% | +0.22% | +0.58% | WIN |
| 2023-11-17 | 09:29:00 | $273.6 | +0.14% | -0.96% | -1.22% | -1.13% | -1.32% | +0.14% | -0.84% | -0.04% | WIN |
| 2023-11-07 | 09:29:00 | $271.83 | -1.93% | -1.72% | -4.07% | -5.61% | -6.39% | +0.45% | -1.60% | -0.03% | LOSS |
| 2023-10-23 | 09:26:00 | $278.57 | -0.01% | -0.20% | -0.19% | -0.29% | -1.40% | +0.08% | -0.64% | -0.64% | LOSS |
| 2023-10-11 | 09:27:00 | $290.87 | -0.92% | -0.39% | -0.25% | -0.47% | +0.01% | +0.09% | -0.94% | -0.69% | LOSS |
| 2023-10-04 | 09:26:00 | $281.8 | +0.86% | +0.95% | +1.41% | +0.72% | +1.09% | +2.15% | +0.58% | +1.09% | WIN |
| 2023-10-03 | 09:26:00 | $277.0 | +0.18% | +1.47% | +2.05% | +1.89% | +1.73% | +2.40% | +0.12% | +0.12% | WIN |
| 2023-08-28 | 09:25:00 | $289.64 | -0.23% | +0.29% | +0.37% | +0.36% | +0.08% | +0.59% | -0.23% | -0.23% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-17 | 09:26:00 | $285.92 | +0.42% | +0.36% | +0.26% | +0.77% | -0.50% | +0.82% | +0.15% | +0.35% | WIN |
| 2023-06-20 | 09:25:00 | $293.17 | -1.64% | -1.35% | -1.43% | -1.96% | -1.32% | -0.94% | -1.64% | -1.10% | LOSS |
| 2023-06-06 | 09:29:00 | $281.09 | -0.67% | -0.41% | -0.31% | -0.81% | -0.92% | +0.16% | -0.89% | -0.89% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ APD Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 55.2% win rate, APD has -0.13% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making APD profitable.
🔧 Fix APD Risk/Reward →Why Analyze APD with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for APD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, APD historically offers an average upside of +0.95% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 APD Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 55.2%, APD shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.32%) outweigh average wins (+0.83%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: APD shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.13%). This suggests APD is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.