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APG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-03 → 2024-04-17

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 05, 2017 🔗 www.apigroupinc.com
💰 Market Cap: $18.03B 👥 Employees: 29,000
APi Group Corp operates in two segments: Safety Services segment includes providing safety services in North America, Asia Pacific, and Europe, focusing on end-to-end integrated occupancy systems (fire protection solutions, Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning and entry systems), including design, installation, inspection, and service of these integrated systems. These services are provided in commercial, education, healthcare, high tech, industrial, and special-hazard settings. Specialty Services segment includes providing a variety of infrastructure services and specialized industrial plant services, which include maintenance and repair of critical infrastructure such as underground electric, gas, water, sewer, and telecommunications infrastructure.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.59%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+4.38%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.59%
Avg Winner: +1.59%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.63%
Worst: +0.54%
Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.26%
Avg Winner: +1.26%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.56%
Worst: +0.30%
Trades: 3/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.56%
Avg Winner: +1.56%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.31%
Worst: +1.03%
Trades: 3/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.99%
Avg Winner: +2.99%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.45%
Worst: +0.57%
Trades: 3/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -19.83%
Avg Winner: +0.32%
Avg Loser: -29.91%
Best: +0.32%
Worst: -30.37%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.38%
Best MFE: +6.03%
Avg Time to MFE: 248 min

On average, APG alerts reach +4.38% profit potential within 248 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.26%
Worst MAE: -0.49%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.26%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

17.06:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 17.06x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, APG typically reaches +4.38% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap +0.39%
Best Gap +1.36%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-TO DWELLINGS & OTHER BUILDINGS

How APG compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
APG: +1.59% Sector: +0.26% +1.33%
EOD Gain
APG: -14.56% Sector: +0.12% -14.68%
Avg MFE
APG: +3.75% Sector: +2.48% +1.26%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical APG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-04-17 09:29:02 $36.94 +0.54% +0.92% +1.03% +0.57% +0.32% +1.46% -0.49% -0.11% WIN
2024-03-01 09:25:38 $35.3 +2.63% +2.56% +2.31% +3.97% -29.44% +6.03% -0.28% -0.09% WIN
2022-10-03 09:25:00 $13.27 - +0.30% +1.36% +4.45% -30.37% +5.65% - +1.36% -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on APG

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push APG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize APG Strategy →

Why Analyze APG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for APG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, APG historically offers an average upside of +4.38% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 APG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, APG shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show APG performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.59%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.