Latest signal:
AR Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 93 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-11 → 2024-10-16
⚠️ Small sample size (93 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, AR alerts reach +3.09% profit potential within 149 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.15%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.67x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 93 alerts, AR typically reaches +3.09% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.5% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
How AR compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical AR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-16 | 09:25:33 | $27.52 | +0.07% | -0.47% | -0.51% | -0.51% | -1.02% | +0.47% | -0.29% | -0.29% | WIN |
| 2024-10-15 | 09:25:43 | $27.3 | +0.21% | +0.62% | +0.77% | -0.04% | +0.18% | +1.25% | -0.26% | - | WIN |
| 2024-04-25 | 09:26:50 | $32.5 | +0.65% | +0.22% | -0.03% | -0.22% | +2.74% | +3.42% | -2.52% | -1.54% | WIN |
| 2024-02-21 | 09:29:32 | $24.69 | +3.93% | +5.79% | +4.54% | +5.51% | +3.81% | +7.28% | +0.53% | +0.65% | WIN |
| 2023-10-26 | 09:25:00 | $27.0 | +1.11% | +2.19% | +5.48% | +6.76% | +9.15% | +11.65% | -0.93% | +1.70% | WIN |
| 2023-10-06 | 09:27:00 | $24.56 | +1.18% | +1.26% | +2.24% | +2.81% | +4.44% | +5.82% | +0.45% | +1.06% | WIN |
| 2023-08-23 | 09:29:00 | $26.79 | -1.18% | -1.19% | -0.60% | -0.86% | -3.47% | -0.22% | -0.22% | -0.60% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-14 | 09:28:00 | $27.72 | +0.34% | -0.25% | -0.61% | +0.11% | +0.29% | +0.67% | -0.96% | - | WIN |
| 2023-06-27 | 09:27:00 | $21.72 | -1.20% | -1.93% | -1.61% | +0.76% | +2.81% | +2.95% | -2.37% | -0.41% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-06 | 09:26:00 | $26.6 | -0.68% | -1.73% | -1.17% | -1.47% | -1.62% | +0.11% | -1.32% | -0.79% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-03 | 09:27:00 | $26.5 | +0.23% | +0.60% | +0.91% | +1.08% | +3.02% | +4.11% | -0.79% | +0.68% | WIN |
| 2023-02-23 | 09:28:00 | $25.45 | +1.06% | +0.93% | +0.86% | -0.12% | +0.04% | +1.96% | -0.20% | +0.71% | WIN |
| 2023-02-06 | 09:27:00 | $27.4 | +0.36% | -0.88% | -1.66% | -3.07% | -3.69% | +0.78% | -0.07% | - | WIN |
| 2023-01-06 | 09:26:00 | $28.01 | +0.14% | +0.87% | +0.71% | +1.78% | +0.68% | +2.50% | -0.71% | -0.39% | WIN |
| 2023-01-05 | 09:26:00 | $28.7 | +0.92% | -0.47% | +0.24% | -1.53% | -3.03% | +1.88% | -0.35% | +0.42% | WIN |
| 2023-01-04 | 09:28:00 | $28.14 | +1.10% | +2.42% | +2.06% | +2.93% | +4.30% | +6.22% | -0.50% | -0.25% | WIN |
| 2023-01-03 | 09:29:00 | $29.95 | +0.53% | +1.40% | -0.23% | -2.50% | -5.11% | +1.74% | -1.30% | - | WIN |
| 2022-12-30 | 09:25:00 | $30.64 | -0.36% | -0.78% | -0.26% | +0.05% | +1.14% | +1.24% | -1.40% | -0.23% | LOSS |
| 2022-12-29 | 09:25:00 | $30.45 | -0.03% | +1.71% | +1.87% | +1.90% | +1.48% | +2.73% | -0.36% | +0.16% | LOSS |
| 2022-12-20 | 09:25:00 | $32.35 | +0.40% | +0.59% | +0.93% | +1.51% | +2.75% | +2.94% | -0.19% | +0.06% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 62.4% Baseline on AR
The 62.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AR's performance to 75%+.
Optimize AR Strategy →Why Analyze AR with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, AR historically offers an average upside of +3.09% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 AR Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 62.4%, AR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AR performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.59%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.