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ARDT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2025-01-02 → 2025-01-02

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 18, 2024 🔗 www.ardenthealth.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.23B 👥 Employees: 24,900
Ardent Health Inc is a provider of healthcare in growing mid-sized urban communities across the U.S. With a focus on people and investments in services and technologies, Ardent is passionate about making healthcare easier to access.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-1.33%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.24%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.33%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.33%
Best: -1.33%
Worst: -1.33%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.19%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.19%
Best: -1.19%
Worst: -1.19%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.58%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.58%
Best: -0.58%
Worst: -0.58%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.32%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.32%
Best: -2.32%
Worst: -2.32%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.24%
Best MFE: +0.24%
Avg Time to MFE: 7 min

On average, ARDT alerts reach +0.24% profit potential within 7 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.33%
Worst MAE: -1.33%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.33%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.18:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, ARDT typically reaches +0.24% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.93%
Best Gap -0.93%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-GENERAL MEDICAL & SURGICAL HOSPITALS, NEC

How ARDT compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ARDT: +0.00% Sector: +0.14% -0.14%
EOD Gain
ARDT: +0.00% Sector: +0.30% -0.30%
Avg MFE
ARDT: +0.00% Sector: +3.00% -3.00%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ARDT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-02 09:26:02 $17.25 -1.33% - -1.19% -0.58% -2.32% +0.24% -1.33% -0.93% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ARDT Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -1.33% average gain, ARDT alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ARDT for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze ARDT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ARDT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ARDT historically offers an average upside of +0.24% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ARDT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, ARDT shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ARDT may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ARDT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -1.33%). This suggests ARDT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.