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AREC Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 24 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-11 → 2025-02-05
⚠️ Small sample size (24 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, AREC alerts reach +6.41% profit potential within 130 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.96%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.27x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 24 alerts, AREC typically reaches +6.41% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.1% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE MINING
How AREC compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical AREC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-05 | 09:29:35 | $0.66 | +1.51% | +0.70% | +0.52% | -0.02% | -0.55% | +1.58% | - | +0.77% | WIN |
| 2025-01-06 | 09:25:03 | $0.68 | -0.01% | -0.89% | -0.15% | +10.08% | +16.24% | +22.17% | -2.22% | -1.38% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-02 | 09:26:35 | $0.91 | -1.11% | -11.00% | -11.38% | -17.83% | -27.87% | +1.09% | +1.09% | -1.11% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-01 | 09:26:24 | $0.83 | -1.69% | -0.49% | +0.33% | -5.02% | -10.20% | +2.50% | -5.91% | -5.32% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-22 | 09:27:00 | $1.48 | -1.35% | -1.05% | -1.35% | -1.01% | -3.38% | - | - | - | LOSS |
| 2023-11-15 | 09:27:00 | $1.33 | +0.75% | -2.26% | -3.01% | -0.38% | +21.05% | +24.06% | -3.76% | +1.50% | WIN |
| 2023-10-04 | 09:26:00 | $1.57 | - | - | +1.91% | -0.32% | -6.37% | +1.91% | -4.46% | -3.18% | - |
| 2023-06-28 | 09:28:00 | $1.83 | +4.38% | -1.09% | +0.55% | +4.37% | +5.74% | +8.20% | -1.63% | +2.19% | WIN |
| 2023-01-26 | 09:25:00 | $1.75 | - | -4.00% | -5.86% | -4.00% | - | +1.14% | -1.14% | +1.14% | - |
| 2022-11-15 | 09:25:00 | $1.69 | +1.78% | +3.55% | +0.59% | +0.59% | +5.92% | +8.28% | -1.78% | +0.59% | WIN |
| 2022-09-22 | 09:25:00 | $2.82 | - | +0.18% | +0.18% | +1.42% | -1.06% | +1.95% | -1.06% | +0.71% | - |
| 2022-08-29 | 09:25:00 | $2.93 | - | +3.41% | +10.24% | +9.89% | +11.26% | +17.63% | -1.37% | - | - |
| 2022-07-22 | 09:25:00 | $1.98 | -0.72% | -2.03% | -3.62% | -4.55% | -7.58% | - | -0.72% | - | LOSS |
| 2022-07-19 | 09:25:00 | $1.76 | -3.30% | +2.84% | +3.12% | +0.18% | +5.11% | +5.68% | -3.98% | -2.27% | LOSS |
| 2022-05-09 | 09:25:00 | $1.5 | +0.33% | +0.33% | -0.67% | -2.04% | -8.00% | +2.00% | - | +2.00% | WIN |
| 2022-04-28 | 09:25:00 | $1.77 | +0.85% | +1.13% | -0.56% | -4.52% | +4.52% | +7.34% | -4.52% | +1.69% | WIN |
| 2022-04-07 | 09:25:00 | $2.37 | +1.69% | +1.69% | +1.48% | - | +0.84% | +3.38% | -0.84% | -0.84% | WIN |
| 2022-03-11 | 09:25:00 | $2.53 | +0.40% | -2.77% | -6.52% | -6.09% | -9.49% | +1.19% | - | +1.19% | WIN |
| 2022-03-10 | 09:25:00 | $2.21 | -0.91% | +0.91% | +3.62% | +4.30% | +11.76% | +13.12% | -1.81% | -0.45% | LOSS |
| 2022-03-09 | 09:25:00 | $2.33 | -0.64% | -4.72% | -3.91% | -3.48% | -3.86% | +0.43% | -2.58% | - | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ AREC Shows Negative Expectancy
With 50.0% win rate and -0.50% average gain, AREC alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AREC for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze AREC with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AREC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, AREC historically offers an average upside of +6.41% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 AREC Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, AREC shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AREC may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: AREC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.50%). This suggests AREC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.