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ARHS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 10 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-11 → 2025-01-10

⚠️ Small sample size (10 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Arhaus, Inc. Class A Common Stock RETAIL-FURNITURE STORES (SIC 5712)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 04, 2021 🔗 www.arhaus.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.46B 👥 Employees: 2,630
Arhaus Inc is a growing lifestyle brand and omnichannel retailer of premium home furniture. The company offers merchandise in several categories, including furniture, outdoor, lighting, textiles, and decor through its Retail and e-commerce sales channels.
📊
10
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.79%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+5.48%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 30.0%
Avg Gain: -1.63%
Avg Winner: +1.87%
Avg Loser: -3.13%
Best: +3.57%
Worst: -6.58%
Trades: 3/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -1.44%
Avg Winner: +3.98%
Avg Loser: -5.05%
Best: +9.39%
Worst: -15.39%
Trades: 4/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.36%
Avg Winner: +4.02%
Avg Loser: -6.73%
Best: +12.35%
Worst: -17.39%
Trades: 5/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: -0.79%
Avg Winner: +2.82%
Avg Loser: -6.20%
Best: +5.41%
Worst: -10.30%
Trades: 6/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +0.61%
Avg Winner: +8.75%
Avg Loser: -5.78%
Best: +23.47%
Worst: -10.96%
Trades: 4/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.48%
Best MFE: +23.57%
Avg Time to MFE: 115 min

On average, ARHS alerts reach +5.48% profit potential within 115 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.03%
Worst MAE: -13.27%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.03%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.81:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 10 alerts, ARHS typically reaches +5.48% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 10
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap -0.86%
Best Gap +3.43%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-FURNITURE STORES

How ARHS compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ARHS: -1.63% Sector: -0.82% -0.81%
EOD Gain
ARHS: +0.61% Sector: -0.43% +1.04%
Avg MFE
ARHS: +5.48% Sector: +5.57% -0.09%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ARHS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-10 09:25:51 $10.5 +3.57% +3.81% +1.43% +2.67% +3.62% +7.48% - +3.43% WIN
2024-08-08 09:27:36 $9.8 -6.58% +9.39% +12.35% +5.41% +23.47% +23.57% -13.27% -8.37% LOSS
2024-03-21 09:27:35 $14.52 +1.38% +2.41% +2.89% +5.27% +6.54% +6.78% - - WIN
2024-03-19 09:26:17 $14.65 -1.02% -0.88% -0.99% +0.96% +1.37% +3.28% -4.44% +0.14% LOSS
2023-09-05 09:27:00 $10.08 -0.50% +0.30% +2.08% +1.74% - +3.47% -0.79% -0.60% LOSS
2023-08-17 09:25:00 $10.4 -0.67% -0.87% +1.36% +0.87% -3.17% +3.37% -3.37% +0.05% LOSS
2023-03-09 09:27:00 $11.5 -2.78% -5.13% -4.09% -5.74% -10.96% - -0.17% -2.52% LOSS
2023-01-09 09:27:00 $11.65 +0.67% -2.49% -4.64% -3.86% -0.09% +4.98% -1.20% -0.86% WIN
2022-11-10 09:25:00 $9.95 -4.92% -15.39% -17.39% -10.30% -10.25% +0.20% -5.63% -0.50% LOSS
2022-08-11 09:25:00 $8.3 -5.42% -5.53% -6.57% -4.91% -4.46% +1.69% -1.45% +0.60% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ARHS Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 60.0% win rate, ARHS has -0.79% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making ARHS profitable.

🔧 Fix ARHS Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze ARHS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ARHS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ARHS historically offers an average upside of +5.48% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ARHS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, ARHS shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-6.20%) outweigh average wins (+2.82%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ARHS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.79%). This suggests ARHS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.