Latest signal:
ARKK Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 577 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, ARKK alerts reach +2.09% profit potential within 135 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.80%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.6x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 577 alerts, ARKK typically reaches +2.09% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical ARKK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:26:19 | $66.05 | +0.45% | +0.03% | +0.63% | +1.39% | +1.47% | +1.68% | -0.30% | -0.06% | WIN |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:28:21 | $60.36 | +0.96% | +1.89% | +2.35% | +2.67% | +3.84% | +4.30% | +0.07% | +0.45% | WIN |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:25:41 | $63.39 | -0.33% | -0.50% | -0.76% | -0.52% | -1.06% | -0.11% | -0.49% | -0.46% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:25:02 | $60.47 | -0.20% | +0.51% | +0.10% | +1.26% | +2.17% | +2.86% | -0.51% | -0.38% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:26:35 | $59.8 | +0.47% | +1.10% | +2.66% | +2.37% | +1.50% | +2.99% | -0.05% | +0.20% | WIN |
| 2025-01-15 | 09:29:52 | $58.5 | -0.46% | +0.05% | +0.77% | +1.60% | +0.29% | +1.69% | -0.72% | -0.05% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-10 | 09:29:35 | $57.7 | -0.47% | -0.29% | -1.65% | -1.01% | -0.40% | +0.57% | -2.44% | +0.05% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-08 | 09:28:12 | $58.64 | +0.46% | +0.39% | -0.15% | -0.34% | +0.53% | +1.40% | -1.62% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2025-01-06 | 09:26:08 | $60.71 | -0.10% | +0.56% | +0.94% | +1.38% | +0.72% | +1.85% | -0.15% | +0.02% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-02 | 09:26:12 | $57.0 | +0.11% | -1.02% | +0.60% | +0.39% | -0.19% | +1.11% | -1.86% | +0.18% | WIN |
| 2024-12-30 | 09:29:47 | $58.0 | -0.78% | -0.95% | -1.89% | -1.48% | -0.67% | +0.40% | -1.90% | +0.02% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-20 | 09:28:24 | $57.22 | +0.19% | +0.89% | +0.98% | +2.71% | +3.81% | +4.89% | -0.63% | -0.26% | WIN |
| 2024-12-19 | 09:25:27 | $59.7 | +0.15% | -0.42% | -0.87% | -1.78% | -2.56% | +0.55% | -0.23% | +0.08% | WIN |
| 2024-12-16 | 09:28:18 | $61.71 | -0.26% | +0.54% | +0.78% | +0.91% | +1.99% | +2.32% | -0.37% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-12-09 | 09:29:57 | $63.44 | -0.25% | -0.58% | -0.32% | -1.81% | -3.36% | - | -0.46% | -0.02% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-03 | 09:29:56 | $58.83 | +0.03% | +0.34% | +0.38% | +0.44% | +0.27% | +0.75% | -0.63% | -0.12% | WIN |
| 2024-11-22 | 09:26:48 | $54.81 | +0.13% | +0.62% | +0.29% | +0.58% | +2.55% | +3.12% | -0.53% | -0.02% | WIN |
| 2024-11-19 | 09:26:32 | $54.39 | +0.06% | +0.44% | +0.80% | +1.28% | +2.81% | +2.85% | -0.11% | +0.22% | WIN |
| 2024-11-18 | 09:26:24 | $54.39 | -0.49% | -0.42% | -1.03% | +0.22% | +1.32% | +1.64% | -1.29% | +0.24% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-14 | 09:29:44 | $55.96 | -0.11% | -1.59% | -1.97% | -1.93% | -3.77% | +0.07% | -0.55% | -0.02% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ ARKK Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 51.0% win rate, ARKK has -0.04% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making ARKK profitable.
🔧 Fix ARKK Risk/Reward →Why Analyze ARKK with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ARKK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, ARKK historically offers an average upside of +2.09% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 ARKK Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 51.0%, ARKK shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.04%) outweigh average wins (+0.92%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: ARKK shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.04%). This suggests ARKK is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.