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ARLP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-01-30 → 2023-01-30

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 17, 1999 🔗 www.arlp.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.16B 👥 Employees: 3,653
Alliance Resource Partners LP operates as a coal mining company based in the United States. It has four segments: Illinois Basin, Appalachia, Oil & Gas Royalties and Coal Royalties. The Illinois Basin comprises underground mining complexes in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland and West Virginia. The Appalachia segment comprises the Mettiki mining complex, the Tunnel Ridge mining complex and the MC Mining complex. The Oil & Gas Royalties has oil & gas mineral interests held by AR Midland and AllDale I & II and includes Alliance Minerals' equity interests in both AllDale III and Cavalier Minerals. The Coal Royalties has included coal mineral reserves and resources owned or leased by Alliance Resource Properties.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.48%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+3.16%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.48%
Avg Winner: +0.48%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.48%
Worst: +0.48%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.29%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.29%
Best: -1.29%
Worst: -1.29%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: +0.00%
Trades: 0/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.62%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.62%
Best: -0.62%
Worst: -0.62%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.18%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.18%
Worst: +0.18%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.16%
Best MFE: +3.16%
Avg Time to MFE: 221 min

On average, ARLP alerts reach +3.16% profit potential within 221 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.33%
Worst MAE: -3.33%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.33%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.95:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, ARLP typically reaches +3.16% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.29%
Best Gap +0.29%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE SURFACE MINING

How ARLP compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ARLP: +0.48% Sector: +0.08% +0.40%
EOD Gain
ARLP: +0.18% Sector: +0.85% -0.68%
Avg MFE
ARLP: +3.16% Sector: +5.06% -1.90%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ARLP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-01-30 09:25:00 $22.5 +0.48% -1.29% - -0.62% +0.18% +3.16% -3.33% +0.29% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on ARLP

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ARLP's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ARLP Strategy →

Why Analyze ARLP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ARLP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ARLP historically offers an average upside of +3.16% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ARLP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, ARLP shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ARLP performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.48%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.