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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$ARM

Trade-Ideas alerts 49.7% at 60-min n=397 2023-09-15 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 14, 2023 🔗 www.arm.com
💰 Market Cap: $328.40B 👥 Employees: 9,584
Arm Holdings is the IP owner and developer of the Arm architecture, which is used in 99% of the world's smartphone CPU cores. Arm also has a high market share in other battery-powered devices, such as wearables, tablets, and sensors. Arm licenses its architecture for a fee, offering different license types depending on the flexibility the customer needs. Customers such as Apple or Qualcomm buy architectural licenses, which allow them to modify the architecture and add or remove instructions to tailor the chips to their specific needs. Other clients directly buy off-the-shelf designs from Arm. Both off-the-shelf and architectural customers pay a royalty fee per chip shipped. In 2026, Arm announced plans to launch its own CPU products on top of its existing royalty business.
Total alerts
397
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
49.7%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
+0.06%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.21%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading ARM on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

Playable ARM setups

Historical ARM setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.5%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.04%
Avg Loser: -0.90%
Best: +11.21%
Worst: -5.02%
Trades: 188/208

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.7%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.74%
Avg Loser: -1.57%
Best: +13.21%
Worst: -7.33%
Trades: 189/207

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.5%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +2.14%
Avg Loser: -1.89%
Best: +23.50%
Worst: -10.94%
Trades: 188/207

60MIN

Win Rate: 49.7%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +2.41%
Avg Loser: -2.28%
Best: +27.87%
Worst: -9.04%
Trades: 197/198

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.6%
Avg Gain: +0.21%
Avg Winner: +3.34%
Avg Loser: -2.89%
Best: +24.45%
Worst: -12.67%
Trades: 197/198

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.21%
Best MFE: +37.01%
Avg Time to MFE: 113 min

On average, ARM alerts reach +3.21% profit potential within 113 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.09%
Worst MAE: -8.33%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.09%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.94:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.94x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 397 alerts, ARM typically reaches +3.21% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 397
Gap Up % 50.9%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +6.48%

🏭 Sector Comparison: Semiconductors & Related Devices

How ARM compares to 89 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ARM: +0.02% Sector: -0.09% +0.11%
EOD Gain
ARM: +0.21% Sector: +6761.07% -6760.86%
Avg MFE
ARM: +3.22% Sector: +3.47% -0.25%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ARM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $307.3 +0.08% -0.81% +0.55% +2.19% +0.06% +3.60% -1.36% -0.17% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $293.96 -0.22% -0.68% -0.79% -1.46% -0.55% +1.08% -2.20% +0.07% LOSS
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $296.36 -0.87% -2.46% -1.94% -2.32% -2.26% +0.42% +0.05% -0.80% LOSS
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $291.0 -0.59% -0.14% +3.18% +2.72% +0.92% +3.44% -1.35% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $304.0 -1.01% -5.45% -5.45% -7.21% -6.80% +1.04% -1.77% +0.60% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $322.0 -0.33% -0.96% +0.59% -1.12% -3.63% +1.08% -1.83% -1.09% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $320.42 -0.27% +1.40% +0.16% +0.90% -4.39% +1.74% -1.56% -0.37% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $328.91 +1.48% +0.77% +1.23% +0.18% +1.11% +2.45% -0.35% +0.87% WIN
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $319.75 +0.07% +1.61% +1.96% +2.01% +4.21% +4.66% -0.77% -0.11% WIN
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $293.54 +1.91% +2.15% +4.66% +6.26% +10.00% +10.43% -1.55% +0.28% WIN
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $267.5 -0.27% -0.73% -0.25% -0.05% +3.03% +3.10% -2.19% +0.66% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $260.9 +0.14% -1.05% +0.51% -0.10% +1.53% +2.34% -1.88% +0.42% WIN
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $246.5 +0.72% +1.89% +1.78% +1.03% -1.02% +2.55% +0.00% +0.15% WIN
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $241.0 +0.82% +1.10% +4.82% +2.60% +0.34% +5.04% +0.00% +0.26% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $242.29 -0.15% +0.67% +0.72% +2.02% -1.35% +2.87% -1.36% +0.04% LOSS
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $257.79 -1.01% -0.31% -0.09% -0.88% +2.72% +3.87% -1.83% -0.03% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $252.0 +0.78% +1.18% +0.76% +1.58% +0.87% +2.35% -0.42% +0.40% WIN
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $263.6 +0.59% +2.22% +3.68% +2.76% +0.24% +4.25% -1.02% -0.50% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $262.48 -0.25% -1.38% -1.99% -2.12% -0.36% +2.09% -2.99% -0.37% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $246.9 +0.88% +1.46% +2.88% +2.78% +2.10% +3.56% -0.48% +0.68% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 49.7% Baseline on ARM

The 49.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push ARM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ARM Strategy →

Why Analyze ARM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ARM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ARM historically offers an average upside of +3.21% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ARM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.7%, ARM shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ARM performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.06%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.