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ARTW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-05 → 2025-01-10

⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc FARM MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT (SIC 3523)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 02, 1973 🔗 www.artsway-mfg.com
💰 Market Cap: $12.5M 👥 Employees: 90
Art's-Way Manufacturing Co Inc is a manufacturer of agricultural equipment. It has two reportable segments: Agricultural Products, and Modular Buildings. The Agricultural Products segment fabricates and sells farming products as well as related equipment and replacement parts for these products in the United States and world wide. Its Modular Buildings segment manufactures and installs modular buildings for animal containment and various laboratory uses. It derives revenues from the Agricultural Products segment.
📊
5
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-3.03%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+11.71%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.09%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.09%
Best: -1.57%
Worst: -13.79%
Trades: 0/5

15MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -6.78%
Avg Winner: +3.64%
Avg Loser: -9.39%
Best: +3.64%
Worst: -28.21%
Trades: 1/4

30MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -7.85%
Avg Winner: +1.08%
Avg Loser: -10.09%
Best: +1.08%
Worst: -24.45%
Trades: 1/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: -3.03%
Avg Winner: +3.06%
Avg Loser: -12.16%
Best: +5.37%
Worst: -21.37%
Trades: 3/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -4.05%
Avg Winner: +9.47%
Avg Loser: -13.06%
Best: +9.84%
Worst: -31.97%
Trades: 2/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +11.71%
Best MFE: +25.74%
Avg Time to MFE: 147 min

On average, ARTW alerts reach +11.71% profit potential within 147 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -10.24%
Worst MAE: -13.99%
Avg Time to MAE: 49 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 10.24%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.14:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, ARTW typically reaches +11.71% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 9.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -1.57%
Best Gap +0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FARM MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT

How ARTW compares to 2 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ARTW: -5.09% Sector: -0.47% -4.61%
EOD Gain
ARTW: -4.05% Sector: -0.30% -3.74%
Avg MFE
ARTW: +11.71% Sector: +3.39% +8.33%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ARTW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-10 09:27:23 $2.05 -2.24% -2.44% -8.29% +5.37% -6.34% +7.80% -10.24% -1.46% LOSS
2024-12-31 09:29:15 $3.19 -13.79% -28.21% -24.45% -21.37% -31.97% +6.58% -10.97% -0.94% LOSS
2024-12-30 09:27:47 $3.3 -3.94% +3.64% -4.50% +2.73% +9.09% +25.74% -12.12% - LOSS
2024-08-23 09:25:41 $1.93 -1.57% -5.18% -3.11% -2.95% +9.84% +16.06% -13.99% -1.55% LOSS
2022-04-05 09:25:00 $4.64 -3.88% -1.72% +1.08% +1.08% -0.86% +2.37% -3.88% -3.88% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ARTW Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 60.0% win rate, ARTW has -3.03% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making ARTW profitable.

🔧 Fix ARTW Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze ARTW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ARTW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ARTW historically offers an average upside of +11.71% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ARTW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, ARTW shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-12.16%) outweigh average wins (+3.06%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ARTW shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -3.03%). This suggests ARTW is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.