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ARW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 12 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-06 → 2023-11-28

⚠️ Small sample size (12 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 investor.arrow.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.01B 👥 Employees: 21,520
Arrow Electronics Inc. is a provider of products, services, and solutions to industrial and commercial users of electronic components and enterprise computing solutions. It has one of the world's broadest portfolios of product offerings available from electronic components and enterprise computing solutions suppliers, coupled with a range of services, solutions, and software, the company helps industrial and commercial customers introduce products, reduce their time to market, and enhance their overall competitiveness. The company has two business segments, the components business and the enterprise computing solutions.
📊
12
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.09%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.27%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.27%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +3.90%
Worst: -1.11%
Trades: 4/8

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +1.07%
Avg Loser: -0.89%
Best: +4.98%
Worst: -1.20%
Trades: 6/6

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.55%
Avg Loser: -1.04%
Best: +5.64%
Worst: -1.65%
Trades: 5/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.59%
Avg Loser: -1.02%
Best: +5.71%
Worst: -1.87%
Trades: 5/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.29%
Avg Winner: +2.98%
Avg Loser: -1.38%
Best: +5.90%
Worst: -3.65%
Trades: 3/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.27%
Best MFE: +6.78%
Avg Time to MFE: 138 min

On average, ARW alerts reach +1.27% profit potential within 138 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.33%
Worst MAE: -2.15%
Avg Time to MAE: 28 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.33%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.8:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.8x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 12 alerts, ARW typically reaches +1.27% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 12
Gap Up % 41.7%
Avg Gap +0.17%
Best Gap +3.98%

🏭 Sector Comparison: WHOLESALE-ELECTRONIC PARTS & EQUIPMENT, NEC

How ARW compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ARW: +0.03% Sector: +0.81% -0.78%
EOD Gain
ARW: -0.29% Sector: -0.55% +0.26%
Avg MFE
ARW: +1.27% Sector: +6.13% -4.86%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ARW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-11-28 09:28:00 $119.44 -0.67% -0.44% +0.10% +0.24% -0.24% +0.94% -1.12% -0.46% LOSS
2023-03-10 09:25:00 $117.01 -1.11% -0.90% -1.65% -0.88% -0.84% +0.73% -1.77% -0.11% LOSS
2022-09-28 09:25:00 $89.0 +3.90% +4.98% +5.64% +5.71% +5.90% +6.78% +3.81% +3.98% WIN
2022-09-20 09:25:00 $97.4 -0.98% -1.20% -1.05% -1.17% -0.94% -0.33% -2.15% -0.98% LOSS
2022-08-30 09:25:00 $108.0 -0.06% -0.89% -1.59% -1.87% -2.33% -0.06% -0.44% -0.44% LOSS
2022-08-18 09:25:00 $112.79 +0.30% +0.35% +0.59% +1.51% +2.04% +2.19% +0.23% +0.30% WIN
2022-06-29 09:25:00 $111.35 -0.04% -1.10% -0.89% -1.24% -0.85% +0.02% -0.30% -0.04% LOSS
2022-06-28 09:25:00 $113.78 +0.27% +0.72% +1.34% +0.08% -2.14% +1.49% +0.27% +0.36% WIN
2022-06-01 09:25:00 $120.65 +0.61% +0.21% -0.56% -0.70% -0.66% +1.14% +0.01% +0.45% WIN
2022-05-18 09:25:00 $127.42 -1.06% -0.80% -0.33% -0.73% -3.65% -0.31% -1.29% -1.19% LOSS
2022-05-13 09:25:00 $123.84 -0.41% +0.08% +0.08% +0.43% +0.99% +1.82% -0.85% -0.68% LOSS
2022-05-06 09:25:00 $125.91 -0.43% +0.08% -1.23% -0.52% -0.78% +0.87% -0.43% +0.87% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on ARW

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ARW's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ARW Strategy →

Why Analyze ARW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ARW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ARW historically offers an average upside of +1.27% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ARW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, ARW shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ARW performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.09%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.