Latest signal:
ASB Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 8 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-04 → 2025-01-02
⚠️ Small sample size (8 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, ASB alerts reach +1.28% profit potential within 140 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.31%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.16x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 8 alerts, ASB typically reaches +1.28% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
How ASB compares to 29 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical ASB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-02 | 09:26:58 | $23.9 | +0.96% | +0.63% | +1.55% | +0.21% | -1.26% | +1.55% | +0.04% | +0.63% | WIN |
| 2024-11-15 | 09:29:39 | $26.44 | -0.72% | +0.08% | -0.11% | -0.87% | +0.61% | +0.72% | -0.08% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-02-02 | 00:00:00 | $20.51 | - | - | - | - | +0.15% | +2.19% | -1.27% | -1.27% | - |
| 2023-10-03 | 09:27:00 | $16.71 | -1.08% | -2.15% | -1.26% | -1.44% | -1.50% | -0.78% | -1.32% | -0.84% | LOSS |
| 2022-12-06 | 09:25:00 | $23.19 | +0.41% | +0.47% | -0.11% | -0.47% | -0.17% | +0.99% | -0.22% | +0.47% | WIN |
| 2022-08-16 | 09:25:00 | $21.51 | -0.51% | +0.26% | +0.37% | +0.65% | +1.58% | +1.81% | -0.51% | -0.51% | LOSS |
| 2022-05-23 | 09:25:00 | $19.55 | +2.30% | +2.56% | +2.35% | +2.48% | +2.40% | +4.09% | +1.69% | +1.99% | WIN |
| 2022-04-04 | 09:25:00 | $22.48 | -0.80% | -2.67% | -1.56% | -0.93% | -1.20% | -0.36% | -0.80% | -0.44% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ ASB Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 71.4% win rate, ASB has -0.12% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making ASB profitable.
🔧 Fix ASB Risk/Reward →Why Analyze ASB with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ASB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, ASB historically offers an average upside of +1.28% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 ASB Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 71.4%, ASB shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.41%) outweigh average wins (+0.80%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: ASB shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.12%). This suggests ASB is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.