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Latest signal:

ASHR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 84 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-07 → 2025-01-06

⚠️ Small sample size (84 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Xtrackers Harvest CSI 300 China A-Shares ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Nov 06, 2013
📊
84
Total Alerts
🎯
44.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.03%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+0.65%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.1%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.23%
Avg Loser: -0.24%
Best: +0.67%
Worst: -0.90%
Trades: 32/48

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.29%
Avg Loser: -0.37%
Best: +2.18%
Worst: -1.88%
Trades: 36/43

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.0%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.41%
Avg Loser: -0.38%
Best: +2.10%
Worst: -1.65%
Trades: 37/46

60MIN

Win Rate: 39.3%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.55%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: +2.23%
Worst: -1.62%
Trades: 33/50

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.5%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.78%
Avg Loser: -0.55%
Best: +4.14%
Worst: -2.23%
Trades: 34/47

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.65%
Best MFE: +4.97%
Avg Time to MFE: 110 min

On average, ASHR alerts reach +0.65% profit potential within 110 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.32%
Worst MAE: -2.23%
Avg Time to MAE: 23 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.32%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.01:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.01x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 84 alerts, ASHR typically reaches +0.65% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 84
Gap Up % 46.4%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +0.42%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ASHR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-06 09:26:17 $25.69 -0.14% -0.29% -0.06% -0.14% -1.01% +0.16% +0.16% -0.04% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:28:45 $25.78 +0.06% +0.16% -0.04% -0.02% -0.35% +0.19% -0.21% +0.08% WIN
2024-12-12 09:26:12 $27.48 -0.22% +0.16% +0.15% +0.02% +0.07% +0.44% -0.38% -0.15% LOSS
2024-12-10 09:29:19 $27.77 +0.04% -0.23% -0.45% -0.58% -0.58% +0.11% -0.32% -0.14% WIN
2024-12-09 09:28:55 $28.97 +0.48% +0.92% +1.35% +1.16% +0.76% +2.17% +0.10% +0.21% WIN
2024-11-22 09:29:19 $26.65 +0.02% -0.06% -0.15% -0.11% -0.07% +0.08% -0.04% +0.04% WIN
2024-11-14 09:29:37 $27.9 -0.22% -0.38% -0.75% -0.54% -0.93% - -0.43% -0.25% LOSS
2024-11-13 09:29:09 $28.42 -0.32% -0.30% -0.56% -0.40% -0.70% +0.18% -0.04% +0.14% LOSS
2024-11-12 09:26:10 $28.06 -0.09% +0.18% +0.12% -0.29% -0.50% +0.32% -0.18% +0.04% LOSS
2024-11-11 09:25:57 $28.55 +0.04% -0.21% -0.36% -0.12% -0.42% +0.28% - +0.04% WIN
2024-11-08 09:27:09 $28.11 +0.57% +0.18% -0.09% -0.44% -0.64% +1.10% +0.04% +0.04% WIN
2024-11-07 09:26:31 $29.5 -0.19% +0.14% +0.05% +0.37% +0.64% +0.97% -0.41% - LOSS
2024-11-06 09:29:05 $27.81 -0.32% +0.29% +0.40% +1.06% +0.93% +1.51% -0.40% +0.04% LOSS
2024-11-05 09:27:31 $28.62 -0.07% -0.28% -0.14% -0.33% +0.14% +0.17% -0.51% -0.03% LOSS
2024-10-29 09:28:17 $27.84 -0.47% -0.34% -0.41% -0.57% -0.86% +0.07% -0.14% - LOSS
2024-10-24 09:27:57 $27.58 +0.51% +0.22% -0.20% -0.20% +0.04% +0.54% +0.18% +0.18% WIN
2024-10-18 09:25:02 $27.99 -0.29% -0.57% -1.00% -0.61% -0.71% +0.04% -0.04% +0.04% LOSS
2024-10-17 09:25:08 $26.37 +0.08% - -0.41% -0.32% +0.04% +0.40% -0.76% +0.15% WIN
2024-10-16 09:27:03 $27.01 -0.19% +0.07% +0.04% +0.11% +0.11% +0.78% -0.20% -0.04% LOSS
2024-10-15 09:28:27 $27.4 -0.13% -0.24% -0.36% -0.95% -2.23% +0.44% - +0.15% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ASHR Shows Negative Expectancy

With 44.0% win rate and -0.03% average gain, ASHR alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ASHR for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze ASHR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ASHR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ASHR historically offers an average upside of +0.65% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ASHR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 44.0%, ASHR shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ASHR may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ASHR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.03%). This suggests ASHR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.