FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

ASO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 15 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-14 → 2024-12-10

⚠️ Small sample size (15 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. RETAIL-MISCELLANEOUS SHOPPING GOODS STORES (SIC 5940)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 02, 2020 🔗 www.academy.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.79B 👥 Employees: 22,000
Academy Sports and Outdoors Inc is engaged in the full-line sporting goods and outdoor recreation retailer in the United States. The company's product categories are outdoors, apparel, sports & recreation, and footwear.
📊
15
Total Alerts
🎯
86.7%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+2.00%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+7.33%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 53.3%
Avg Gain: +1.00%
Avg Winner: +2.75%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: +5.66%
Worst: -1.59%
Trades: 8/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 86.7%
Avg Gain: +2.00%
Avg Winner: +2.62%
Avg Loser: -2.01%
Best: +6.78%
Worst: -3.75%
Trades: 13/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 86.7%
Avg Gain: +2.35%
Avg Winner: +3.18%
Avg Loser: -3.08%
Best: +8.16%
Worst: -5.85%
Trades: 13/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 86.7%
Avg Gain: +3.41%
Avg Winner: +4.35%
Avg Loser: -2.71%
Best: +14.54%
Worst: -5.07%
Trades: 13/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +4.68%
Avg Winner: +6.59%
Avg Loser: -2.95%
Best: +24.13%
Worst: -5.13%
Trades: 12/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.33%
Best MFE: +24.53%
Avg Time to MFE: 144 min

On average, ASO alerts reach +7.33% profit potential within 144 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.71%
Worst MAE: -3.45%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.71%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.27:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.27x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 15 alerts, ASO typically reaches +7.33% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 15
Gap Up % 53.3%
Avg Gap +0.20%
Best Gap +3.03%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-MISCELLANEOUS SHOPPING GOODS STORES

How ASO compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ASO: +1.00% Sector: +1.05% -0.05%
EOD Gain
ASO: +4.68% Sector: +889.13% -884.45%
Avg MFE
ASO: +7.33% Sector: +7.03% +0.29%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ASO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-10 09:28:45 $50.25 -0.08% +0.42% +1.08% +3.43% +4.64% +5.75% -1.39% +0.50% LOSS
2024-09-10 09:26:52 $52.1 +4.17% +2.21% +1.82% +1.86% +6.30% +8.31% -2.55% +3.03% WIN
2024-06-11 09:26:14 $51.35 +4.47% +3.17% +1.97% +1.77% +0.66% +6.06% +0.10% +1.32% WIN
2024-03-21 09:26:16 $62.82 +0.55% +2.26% +5.60% +5.79% +2.56% +7.45% -2.05% -1.53% WIN
2023-11-30 09:29:00 $45.43 +5.66% +3.85% +7.88% +7.66% +11.97% +12.92% +0.11% +0.68% WIN
2023-08-31 09:26:00 $56.44 -0.78% -0.28% +0.36% +2.20% -3.31% +2.98% -1.93% +1.19% LOSS
2023-08-22 09:28:00 $52.1 -1.04% +2.19% +0.31% +1.50% -0.40% +3.09% -2.00% +0.35% LOSS
2023-06-06 09:29:00 $47.5 +3.08% +4.74% +5.04% +2.26% +4.04% +6.21% -0.95% -0.38% WIN
2022-12-07 09:25:00 $49.98 +0.82% +6.78% +8.16% +11.68% +13.79% +15.19% -1.96% -0.08% WIN
2022-11-16 09:25:00 $47.17 -1.59% -3.75% -5.85% -5.07% -5.13% -0.83% -2.59% -1.10% LOSS
2022-09-07 09:25:00 $45.67 -1.14% +1.49% +1.50% +0.92% +4.69% +6.07% -2.56% -0.55% LOSS
2022-06-07 09:25:00 $37.5 +0.21% +0.16% -0.32% +0.19% +3.20% +4.08% -1.95% +0.03% WIN
2022-05-25 09:25:00 $25.03 +3.06% +6.03% +6.15% +14.54% +24.13% +24.53% -0.08% +0.68% WIN
2022-03-29 09:25:00 $38.88 -0.95% +0.41% +0.62% -0.36% +1.67% +2.93% -3.45% -0.41% LOSS
2022-03-14 09:25:00 $33.94 -1.44% +0.32% +0.89% +2.74% +1.41% +5.17% -2.48% -0.71% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 86.7% Baseline on ASO

The 86.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ASO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ASO Strategy →

Why Analyze ASO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ASO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ASO historically offers an average upside of +7.33% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ASO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 86.7%, ASO shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ASO performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.00%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.