Latest signal:
ATO Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-05-12 → 2024-12-02
⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, ATO alerts reach +0.33% profit potential within 116 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.37%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, ATO typically reaches +0.33% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.3% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: NATURAL GAS DISTRIBUTION
How ATO compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical ATO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-02 | 09:25:50 | $151.39 | -0.39% | -0.82% | -1.33% | -1.57% | -1.87% | -0.11% | -0.16% | -0.11% | LOSS |
| 2024-09-27 | 09:25:40 | $136.78 | +0.38% | +0.51% | +0.61% | +0.81% | +0.73% | +1.20% | +0.16% | +0.30% | WIN |
| 2024-02-16 | 09:29:43 | $113.97 | - | -0.39% | -0.16% | -0.05% | -0.02% | +0.47% | -0.59% | -0.28% | - |
| 2023-11-29 | 09:27:00 | $113.5 | -0.88% | -1.12% | -1.02% | -0.95% | -1.28% | -0.66% | -1.39% | -0.91% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-12 | 09:25:00 | $118.5 | +0.12% | +0.52% | +0.22% | +0.04% | +0.55% | +0.76% | +0.12% | +0.42% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ ATO Shows Negative Expectancy
With 50.0% win rate and -0.19% average gain, ATO alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ATO for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze ATO with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ATO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, ATO historically offers an average upside of +0.33% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 ATO Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, ATO shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ATO may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: ATO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.19%). This suggests ATO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.