FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

ATRA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 41 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-18 → 2025-01-16

⚠️ Small sample size (41 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 16, 2014 🔗 www.atarabio.com
💰 Market Cap: $37.6M 👥 Employees: 38
Atara Biotherapeutics Inc operates in the United States healthcare sector. It focuses on developing transformative therapies for patients with serious diseases, including solid tumors, hematologic cancers, and autoimmune diseases. It operates and manages business as one operating and reportable segment which is the business of developing therapeutics. The company's product candidates comprise Tab-cel, ATA188, and ATA3219 (CAR T Platform).
📊
41
Total Alerts
🎯
87.8%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1217.79%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+11.12%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.56%
Avg Winner: +3.34%
Avg Loser: -2.34%
Best: +14.42%
Worst: -10.83%
Trades: 20/19

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.79%
Avg Winner: +4.99%
Avg Loser: -3.80%
Best: +14.42%
Worst: -13.18%
Trades: 20/18

30MIN

Win Rate: 55.0%
Avg Gain: +0.38%
Avg Winner: +4.73%
Avg Loser: -4.94%
Best: +15.15%
Worst: -14.87%
Trades: 22/18

60MIN

Win Rate: 55.0%
Avg Gain: +0.77%
Avg Winner: +6.33%
Avg Loser: -6.02%
Best: +22.46%
Worst: -22.73%
Trades: 22/18

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 87.8%
Avg Gain: +1217.79%
Avg Winner: +1388.88%
Avg Loser: -14.01%
Best: +3244.23%
Worst: -51.05%
Trades: 36/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +11.12%
Best MFE: +39.88%
Avg Time to MFE: 166 min

On average, ATRA alerts reach +11.12% profit potential within 166 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.87%
Worst MAE: -11.58%
Avg Time to MAE: 27 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.87%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.87:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.87x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 41 alerts, ATRA typically reaches +11.12% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 41
Gap Up % 56.1%
Avg Gap +0.13%
Best Gap +4.75%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How ATRA compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ATRA: +0.56% Sector: -0.41% +0.97%
EOD Gain
ATRA: +1168.27% Sector: +1233.50% -65.24%
Avg MFE
ATRA: +10.57% Sector: +6.69% +3.88%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ATRA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-16 09:27:35 $6.52 +14.42% +14.42% +9.51% +9.85% +20.09% +37.88% -0.15% +2.76% WIN
2024-09-04 09:28:57 $8.19 +3.54% -1.59% +0.72% +5.62% +10.50% +14.29% -5.13% -0.12% WIN
2024-06-17 09:29:12 $0.44 -2.88% -5.29% -7.74% -9.83% -3.68% +2.95% -11.16% +0.98% LOSS
2024-02-01 00:00:00 $0.63 - - - - +3198.89% +33.21% -4.24% -0.72% -
2023-12-27 09:27:00 $0.55 +0.51% +3.99% +3.11% +1.20% +1.78% +4.53% +0.16% +1.42% WIN
2023-12-26 09:29:00 $0.54 +0.41% -2.09% -0.17% +1.76% +3.31% +6.30% -3.59% +1.85% WIN
2023-12-22 09:26:00 $0.5 -0.68% -0.14% -0.97% +2.81% +2584.19% +10.91% -2.75% -0.97% LOSS
2023-12-21 09:27:00 $0.59 +9.08% +10.93% +1.60% -0.85% +1773.53% +15.97% -0.08% +4.20% WIN
2023-12-19 09:27:00 $0.55 +2.44% +2.04% +0.25% -0.36% +1.95% +3.72% -0.65% -0.63% WIN
2023-12-15 09:29:00 $0.69 - - +0.01% -3.68% +2074.18% +0.71% -1.42% +0.03% -
2023-12-14 09:27:00 $0.67 +0.55% +2.17% -0.28% +1.03% +2.52% +3.36% -1.14% +1.48% WIN
2023-12-13 09:29:00 $0.63 -0.05% -0.43% +0.99% +0.14% +7.02% +9.55% -1.64% +0.03% LOSS
2023-12-12 09:26:00 $0.63 +0.83% -0.54% +1.89% +1.56% +3.16% +8.35% -2.78% +4.75% WIN
2023-12-11 09:29:00 $0.63 +2.79% - -0.62% +1.57% +4.79% +6.35% -1.43% -1.43% WIN
2023-12-08 09:26:00 $0.69 -0.07% -2.45% -4.59% -3.25% -3.29% +0.95% - -2.54% LOSS
2023-12-07 09:27:00 $0.7 -2.64% -5.87% -4.68% -5.20% +2370.14% +0.92% -7.58% -0.47% LOSS
2023-12-04 09:28:00 $0.63 +3.23% +4.89% +5.88% +5.88% +11.51% +14.16% -1.27% -1.27% WIN
2023-12-01 09:25:00 $0.63 +0.13% -2.13% -4.22% -7.12% +2.83% +3.68% -9.22% +2.56% WIN
2023-11-30 09:27:00 $0.7 +6.88% +5.87% +0.69% -2.32% +2260.51% +10.16% -0.97% -0.87% WIN
2023-11-28 09:25:00 $0.62 +2.22% +1.04% +0.22% -3.20% -2.30% +3.98% -6.45% +2.40% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 87.8% Baseline on ATRA

The 87.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ATRA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ATRA Strategy →

Why Analyze ATRA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ATRA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ATRA historically offers an average upside of +11.12% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ATRA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 87.8%, ATRA shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ATRA performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1217.79%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.