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AU Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 264 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-07 → 2025-02-12

🏢 Company Profile

AngloGold Ashanti plc
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 29, 1987 🔗 www.anglogoldashanti.com
💰 Market Cap: $54.57B 👥 Employees: 39,484
Anglogold Ashanti PLC is one of the gold miners. The company also produces silver and sulphuric acid as by-products. Its operating divisions are Africa, Australia, and the Americas. The firm generates a majority of its revenue from the Africa region which includes its operations of the Kibali, Iduapriem, Obuasi, Siguiri, and Geita mines.
📊
264
Total Alerts
🎯
48.5%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.07%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.70%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 39.4%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.42%
Avg Loser: -0.47%
Best: +1.59%
Worst: -2.12%
Trades: 104/153

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.70%
Avg Loser: -0.81%
Best: +2.92%
Worst: -3.07%
Trades: 121/139

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.5%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -0.92%
Best: +4.55%
Worst: -4.91%
Trades: 120/140

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.3%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.30%
Avg Loser: -1.15%
Best: +5.54%
Worst: -4.01%
Trades: 117/144

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.5%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +1.90%
Avg Loser: -1.69%
Best: +9.95%
Worst: -5.54%
Trades: 128/133

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.70%
Best MFE: +10.78%
Avg Time to MFE: 130 min

On average, AU alerts reach +1.70% profit potential within 130 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.73%
Worst MAE: -3.61%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.73%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.33:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.33x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 264 alerts, AU typically reaches +1.70% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 264
Gap Up % 40.2%
Avg Gap -0.05%
Best Gap +2.19%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AU alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:25:38 $32.85 +0.09% +0.24% -0.03% +0.76% +0.94% +2.40% -0.46% -0.21% WIN
2025-02-10 09:27:40 $32.72 +0.92% +0.95% +1.10% +1.44% +2.69% +2.72% +0.03% +0.86% WIN
2025-02-06 09:29:12 $31.59 -0.63% +0.28% -0.38% -1.36% -0.28% +0.57% -0.73% +0.57% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:27:50 $30.95 - -0.16% +0.10% +0.84% -0.29% +1.03% -0.45% +0.26% -
2025-01-22 09:29:23 $28.72 -1.31% -1.39% -1.83% -2.09% -2.68% +0.14% -0.84% +0.14% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:26:40 $27.61 -1.23% -0.54% -0.62% -0.51% -2.32% +0.04% -1.12% +0.04% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:28:21 $25.98 +0.48% +0.02% -0.15% -0.15% - +1.00% -0.12% +0.54% WIN
2025-01-06 09:25:13 $23.9 +0.88% -0.92% -0.33% -0.75% -1.55% +1.09% +0.17% +0.63% WIN
2025-01-03 09:25:14 $24.13 -0.12% -0.10% -0.50% -0.35% -1.33% +0.27% -0.46% +0.04% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:25:32 $26.27 +0.04% +0.84% +1.83% +2.55% +3.35% +3.60% -0.30% -0.19% WIN
2024-12-06 09:27:51 $25.19 -0.71% -0.99% -0.16% +0.20% -1.03% +0.79% -1.37% -0.12% LOSS
2024-12-05 09:26:52 $25.65 -0.12% +0.19% -0.14% -0.27% - +0.43% -0.39% +0.35% LOSS
2024-12-04 09:25:32 $26.14 -0.92% -1.15% -1.84% -1.76% -1.11% +0.11% - +0.08% LOSS
2024-11-29 09:26:46 $24.79 +1.01% +1.13% +0.89% +1.53% +0.61% +2.02% +0.48% +1.37% WIN
2024-11-25 09:27:50 $25.54 -0.08% -1.27% -0.61% -0.78% -1.33% +0.47% -0.20% +0.27% LOSS
2024-11-22 09:27:45 $25.72 -0.55% +0.45% +0.66% +0.60% +0.89% +1.94% -0.84% -0.23% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:26:00 $25.09 -0.52% -0.76% -1.38% -1.51% +0.44% +0.44% -0.44% +0.44% LOSS
2024-11-20 09:29:22 $24.6 +0.35% +0.30% +0.12% -0.65% -0.24% +0.65% -0.24% -0.24% WIN
2024-11-19 09:27:54 $25.34 -0.36% -0.43% -1.06% -1.74% -0.75% +0.12% +0.12% -0.16% LOSS
2024-11-14 09:25:21 $23.23 +0.69% +0.26% +0.12% +1.64% +3.36% +3.85% -0.56% +0.22% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 48.5% Baseline on AU

The 48.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AU's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AU Strategy →

Why Analyze AU with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AU. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AU historically offers an average upside of +1.70% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AU Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.5%, AU shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AU performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.07%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.