Latest signal:
AVXL Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 13 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-01 → 2024-12-23
⚠️ Small sample size (13 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, AVXL alerts reach +5.25% profit potential within 26 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.17%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 13 alerts, AVXL typically reaches +5.25% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.2% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
How AVXL compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical AVXL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-23 | 09:27:33 | $8.94 | +11.59% | +18.05% | +25.12% | +18.01% | +25.06% | +28.64% | -0.22% | -0.22% | WIN |
| 2024-11-26 | 09:29:44 | $10.25 | -2.69% | -2.34% | -5.85% | -9.17% | -11.85% | +0.98% | -3.80% | +0.49% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-31 | 09:27:13 | $6.13 | -1.90% | +0.16% | +4.57% | +4.08% | +7.99% | +20.23% | -4.24% | -4.08% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-29 | 09:28:39 | $7.0 | -3.64% | +1.86% | +2.00% | +5.85% | +0.57% | +7.00% | -8.29% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-11-20 | 09:28:00 | $7.23 | -6.92% | -3.94% | -3.18% | -5.67% | -3.18% | -2.15% | -4.84% | -3.18% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-14 | 09:26:00 | $8.09 | +0.87% | +2.75% | -0.12% | -6.18% | -1.73% | +3.71% | -2.47% | -1.36% | WIN |
| 2023-03-30 | 09:28:00 | $9.05 | -3.98% | -5.30% | -6.63% | -7.07% | -8.07% | - | -2.76% | -2.10% | LOSS |
| 2023-01-03 | 09:26:00 | $9.94 | -1.66% | -2.31% | -2.92% | -2.52% | -2.62% | +0.70% | - | -0.50% | LOSS |
| 2022-12-06 | 09:25:00 | $9.21 | -0.22% | -6.41% | -6.24% | -2.39% | -9.01% | +0.98% | - | - | LOSS |
| 2022-12-05 | 09:25:00 | $12.05 | -1.24% | -3.15% | -1.74% | -5.60% | -20.50% | +0.66% | -0.58% | -0.17% | LOSS |
| 2022-12-02 | 09:25:00 | $12.61 | -2.26% | -9.68% | -13.10% | -5.75% | -4.44% | +4.92% | -15.46% | -0.32% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-02 | 09:25:00 | $11.75 | -2.89% | -7.15% | -7.49% | -8.68% | -10.21% | +0.60% | +0.26% | -0.51% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-01 | 09:25:00 | $12.16 | -4.11% | -13.65% | -9.71% | -10.81% | -9.21% | +1.97% | +1.15% | +0.33% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ AVXL Shows Negative Expectancy
With 30.8% win rate and -2.39% average gain, AVXL alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AVXL for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze AVXL with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AVXL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, AVXL historically offers an average upside of +5.25% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 AVXL Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 30.8%, AVXL shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AVXL may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: AVXL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -2.39%). This suggests AVXL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.