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AVY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-22 → 2024-12-03

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.averydennison.com
💰 Market Cap: $14.49B 👥 Employees: 35,000
Avery Dennison manufactures pressure-sensitive materials, merchandise tags, and labels. The company also runs a specialty converting business that produces radio-frequency identification inlays and labels. Avery Dennison draws a significant amount of revenue from outside the United States, with international operations accounting for the majority of total sales.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
71.4%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.59%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.37%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +0.59%
Avg Winner: +0.92%
Avg Loser: -0.23%
Best: +1.68%
Worst: -0.34%
Trades: 5/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +0.42%
Avg Winner: +1.24%
Avg Loser: -0.67%
Best: +2.78%
Worst: -0.84%
Trades: 4/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 57.1%
Avg Gain: +0.60%
Avg Winner: +1.34%
Avg Loser: -0.39%
Best: +2.76%
Worst: -0.55%
Trades: 4/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +0.36%
Avg Winner: +1.53%
Avg Loser: -0.52%
Best: +3.05%
Worst: -0.93%
Trades: 3/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +0.34%
Avg Winner: +1.44%
Avg Loser: -0.49%
Best: +3.38%
Worst: -1.05%
Trades: 3/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.37%
Best MFE: +4.32%
Avg Time to MFE: 89 min

On average, AVY alerts reach +1.37% profit potential within 89 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.23%
Worst MAE: -1.38%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.23%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.93:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.93x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, AVY typically reaches +1.37% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 85.7%
Avg Gap +0.56%
Best Gap +1.68%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CONVERTED PAPER & PAPERBOARD PRODS (NO CONTANERS/BOXES)

How AVY compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AVY: +0.59% Sector: +0.26% +0.33%
EOD Gain
AVY: +0.34% Sector: +191.19% -190.85%
Avg MFE
AVY: +1.37% Sector: +5.34% -3.96%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AVY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-03 09:29:02 $205.5 -0.11% -0.48% -0.35% -0.35% -0.15% +0.27% +0.27% +0.27% LOSS
2022-11-23 09:25:00 $191.3 +0.37% +0.43% +0.56% +0.74% +0.89% +1.31% -0.01% +0.06% WIN
2022-11-01 09:25:00 $169.55 +1.27% +0.24% -0.26% -0.68% -0.45% +1.27% +1.27% +1.27% WIN
2022-10-04 09:25:00 $168.1 +1.68% +2.78% +2.76% +3.05% +3.38% +4.32% +1.68% +1.68% WIN
2022-05-02 09:25:00 $181.16 +0.29% -0.84% +0.64% -0.12% -1.05% +0.67% -0.97% +0.17% WIN
2022-04-04 09:25:00 $175.1 -0.34% -0.70% -0.55% -0.93% -0.30% -0.07% -1.38% -0.39% LOSS
2022-03-22 09:25:00 $170.77 +1.00% +1.51% +1.41% +0.81% +0.05% +1.86% +0.76% +0.88% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 71.4% Baseline on AVY

The 71.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AVY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AVY Strategy →

Why Analyze AVY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AVY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AVY historically offers an average upside of +1.37% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AVY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 71.4%, AVY shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AVY performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.59%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.