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AWK Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 10 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-23 → 2025-01-30

⚠️ Small sample size (10 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

American Water Works Company, Inc WATER SUPPLY (SIC 4941)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 15, 1947 🔗 www.amwater.com
💰 Market Cap: $25.32B 👥 Employees: 6,700
American Water Works is the largest investor-owned US water and wastewater utility, serving nearly 4 million customers in 14 states. It provides water and wastewater services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and operates predominantly in regulated markets. The company's nonregulated business is water services for military bases, which operates under long-term contracts with regulated-like returns. The proposed Essential Utilities acquisition would add regulated water and wastewater utilities in Ohio, North Carolina, and Texas while increasing its presence in Illinois, Indiana, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Virginia.
📊
10
Total Alerts
🎯
80.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.24%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.21%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +0.24%
Avg Winner: +0.46%
Avg Loser: -0.64%
Best: +1.21%
Worst: -0.74%
Trades: 8/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +0.51%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: -0.50%
Best: +1.67%
Worst: -0.84%
Trades: 8/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.42%
Avg Winner: +0.92%
Avg Loser: -0.35%
Best: +2.23%
Worst: -1.19%
Trades: 6/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.62%
Avg Loser: -0.56%
Best: +1.98%
Worst: -1.16%
Trades: 6/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.23%
Avg Winner: +1.17%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: +1.89%
Worst: -1.45%
Trades: 5/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.21%
Best MFE: +2.70%
Avg Time to MFE: 128 min

On average, AWK alerts reach +1.21% profit potential within 128 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.38%
Worst MAE: -0.95%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.38%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.2:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.2x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 10 alerts, AWK typically reaches +1.21% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 10
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap +0.10%
Best Gap +0.72%

🏭 Sector Comparison: WATER SUPPLY

How AWK compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AWK: +0.24% Sector: +0.23% +0.01%
EOD Gain
AWK: +0.23% Sector: +0.74% -0.51%
Avg MFE
AWK: +1.21% Sector: +1.88% -0.67%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AWK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-30 09:29:52 $124.25 +1.14% +1.18% +0.96% +0.60% -0.47% +1.40% -0.02% +0.72% WIN
2024-11-15 09:26:03 $132.55 +0.33% +0.07% -0.01% -0.50% +1.27% +1.38% -0.60% -0.24% WIN
2024-04-29 09:27:09 $121.2 +0.65% +1.02% +0.67% +0.65% +0.89% +1.13% +0.39% +0.44% WIN
2024-04-16 09:29:23 $115.5 -0.74% -0.84% -1.19% -1.16% -1.45% -0.04% -0.26% -0.04% LOSS
2023-11-29 09:27:00 $131.68 +0.09% +0.45% +0.56% -0.19% -0.35% +0.65% -0.91% -0.18% WIN
2023-11-28 09:26:00 $130.7 -0.54% -0.16% -0.05% +0.12% -0.03% +0.80% -0.55% -0.24% LOSS
2023-06-27 09:27:00 $140.23 +0.11% +0.87% +0.63% +0.36% +1.89% +2.08% -0.65% -0.01% WIN
2023-05-31 09:26:00 $143.2 +0.08% +0.09% -0.14% +0.03% +0.87% +0.98% -0.95% +0.09% WIN
2023-03-01 09:28:00 $136.9 +1.21% +1.67% +2.23% +1.98% +0.91% +2.70% -0.15% -0.07% WIN
2022-02-23 09:25:00 $148.53 +0.08% +0.74% +0.48% -0.39% -1.21% +1.03% -0.07% +0.52% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 80.0% Baseline on AWK

The 80.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AWK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AWK Strategy →

Why Analyze AWK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AWK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AWK historically offers an average upside of +1.21% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AWK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 80.0%, AWK shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AWK performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.24%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.