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AX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-06-04 → 2024-06-04

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Axos Financial, Inc. Common Stock SAVINGS INSTITUTION, FEDERALLY CHARTERED (SIC 6035)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 15, 2005 🔗 www.axosfinancial.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.20B 👥 Employees: 1,989
Axos Financial Inc is a bank holding company that operates through its bank subsidiary, BofI Federal Bank, a nationwide bank that provides financing for single and multifamily residential properties, small to medium-size businesses in certain sectors, and selected specialty finance receivables. Its operating segments are banking business segment and securities business segment. The bank distributed its products through a wide range of retail distribution channels, including only banking brands, affinity groups, and sales teams, among others. The majority of the bank's mortgage exposure is titled toward the state of California, particularly its southern region. Net interest income is a majority of the bank's revenue.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+2.39%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+14.38%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.39%
Avg Winner: +2.39%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.39%
Worst: +2.39%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +4.15%
Avg Winner: +4.15%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +4.15%
Worst: +4.15%
Trades: 1/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +5.04%
Avg Winner: +5.04%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +5.04%
Worst: +5.04%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +9.97%
Avg Winner: +9.97%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +9.97%
Worst: +9.97%
Trades: 1/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +14.15%
Avg Winner: +14.15%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +14.15%
Worst: +14.15%
Trades: 1/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +14.38%
Best MFE: +14.38%
Avg Time to MFE: 392 min

On average, AX alerts reach +14.38% profit potential within 392 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.50%
Worst MAE: -1.50%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.50%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

9.59:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 9.59x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, AX typically reaches +14.38% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 11.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.18%
Best Gap +0.18%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SAVINGS INSTITUTION, FEDERALLY CHARTERED

How AX compares to 2 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AX: +2.39% Sector: -1.11% +3.50%
EOD Gain
AX: +14.15% Sector: +1.90% +12.25%
Avg MFE
AX: +14.38% Sector: +2.99% +11.39%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-06-04 09:25:09 $44.02 +2.39% +4.15% +5.04% +9.97% +14.15% +14.38% -1.50% +0.18% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

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🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on AX

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AX Strategy →

Why Analyze AX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AX historically offers an average upside of +14.38% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, AX shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AX performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.39%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.