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BAERW Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-01-26 → 2023-02-24

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Warrant SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC (SIC 7389)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 25, 2023 🔗 www.bridgeraerospace.com
👥 Employees: 191
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc operates as an aerial firefighting company. It provides aerial wildfire surveillance, relief and suppression, and aerial firefighting services using next-generation technology and environmentally friendly and sustainable firefighting methods. Bridger Aerospace provides aerial firefighting and wildfire management services to federal and state government agencies, including the United States Forest Service, across the nation. The company's portfolio is organized across two offerings: Fire Suppression, which Consists of deploying specialized Viking CL-415EAF (Super Scooper) aircraft to drop large amounts of water quickly and directly on wildfires, and Aerial Surveillance, providing aerial surveillance via manned aircraft for fire suppression aircraft.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+22.00%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+23.79%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +22.00%
Avg Winner: +22.00%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +30.67%
Worst: +13.33%
Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.53%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.07%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -1.07%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.00%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -8.00%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -8.00%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -17.65%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -17.65%
Best: -17.65%
Worst: -17.65%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -16.17%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -16.17%
Best: -8.33%
Worst: -24.00%
Trades: 0/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +23.79%
Best MFE: +30.91%
Avg Time to MFE: 4 min

On average, BAERW alerts reach +23.79% profit potential within 4 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -8.91%
Worst MAE: -14.48%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 8.91%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.67:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.67x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, BAERW typically reaches +23.79% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 19.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +1.11%
Best Gap +2.21%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

How BAERW compares to 59 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BAERW: +30.67% Sector: -0.05% +30.71%
EOD Gain
BAERW: -24.00% Sector: +1758.96% -1782.96%
Avg MFE
BAERW: +30.91% Sector: +2.89% +28.02%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BAERW alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-02-24 09:27:00 $0.38 +30.67% -1.07% -8.00% -17.65% -24.00% +30.91% -14.48% +2.21% WIN
2023-01-26 09:28:00 $0.3 +13.33% - - - -8.33% +16.67% -3.33% - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on BAERW

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BAERW's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BAERW Strategy →

Why Analyze BAERW with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BAERW. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BAERW historically offers an average upside of +23.79% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BAERW Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, BAERW shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BAERW performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +22.00%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.