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Latest signal:

BAH Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 21 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-17 → 2024-11-08

⚠️ Small sample size (21 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation SERVICES-MANAGEMENT CONSULTING SERVICES (SIC 8742)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 17, 2010 🔗 www.boozallen.com
💰 Market Cap: $12.33B 👥 Employees: 32,500
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp provides technology solutions in areas such as artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, and related fields. The company serves U.S. federal government agencies, commercial clients, and select international customers. It also provides technologies to evolve defense missions and delivers solutions to warfighters in the digital battlespace.
📊
21
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.68%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+2.55%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 61.9%
Avg Gain: +0.22%
Avg Winner: +0.68%
Avg Loser: -0.51%
Best: +2.55%
Worst: -1.32%
Trades: 13/8

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.68%
Avg Winner: +1.16%
Avg Loser: -0.27%
Best: +3.06%
Worst: -0.80%
Trades: 14/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.59%
Avg Winner: +1.41%
Avg Loser: -0.64%
Best: +3.40%
Worst: -1.17%
Trades: 12/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 61.9%
Avg Gain: +0.87%
Avg Winner: +1.64%
Avg Loser: -0.38%
Best: +3.94%
Worst: -0.93%
Trades: 13/8

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 61.9%
Avg Gain: +1.46%
Avg Winner: +2.93%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: +6.73%
Worst: -3.71%
Trades: 13/8

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.55%
Best MFE: +7.20%
Avg Time to MFE: 219 min

On average, BAH alerts reach +2.55% profit potential within 219 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.25%
Worst MAE: -1.67%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.25%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

10.14:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 10.14x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 21 alerts, BAH typically reaches +2.55% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 21
Gap Up % 52.4%
Avg Gap +0.13%
Best Gap +2.70%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MANAGEMENT CONSULTING SERVICES

How BAH compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BAH: +0.23% Sector: -0.52% +0.75%
EOD Gain
BAH: +1.50% Sector: +302.11% -300.61%
Avg MFE
BAH: +2.62% Sector: +13.65% -11.03%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BAH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-08 09:29:49 $178.27 +0.20% +0.93% +1.48% +1.68% +2.93% +3.15% -0.71% +0.70% WIN
2024-03-26 09:26:28 $146.13 +0.08% +0.28% - +0.68% +0.72% +1.12% -0.18% +0.05% WIN
2023-05-31 09:26:00 $95.04 +2.55% +3.06% +3.40% +3.94% +5.83% +6.71% +2.33% +2.70% WIN
2023-03-14 09:28:00 $89.74 +1.11% +0.58% +0.35% +1.00% +1.77% +2.01% +0.30% +0.30% WIN
2023-01-26 09:25:00 $97.5 -0.16% -0.21% -0.12% +0.48% -0.33% +0.93% -0.68% -0.23% LOSS
2023-01-13 09:28:00 $95.44 -0.83% -0.80% -0.67% -0.61% -0.47% -0.27% -0.90% -0.90% LOSS
2022-08-01 09:25:00 $95.98 +0.41% +1.31% +1.52% +1.44% -0.19% +2.03% +0.09% +0.27% WIN
2022-06-21 09:25:00 $82.29 +0.16% -0.14% -0.60% +0.59% +2.39% +2.53% -0.64% -0.38% WIN
2022-06-03 09:25:00 $87.47 -0.18% -0.27% -0.91% -0.46% -0.30% +0.03% -0.18% +0.03% LOSS
2022-05-25 09:25:00 $84.71 +0.73% +1.28% -0.05% -0.13% -0.09% +1.44% +0.38% +0.38% WIN
2022-05-24 09:25:00 $80.16 +0.51% +2.16% +3.18% +2.58% +5.86% +6.01% +0.51% +0.51% WIN
2022-05-19 09:25:00 $78.0 +1.00% +1.51% +1.00% +2.45% +3.64% +5.62% +0.23% +1.00% WIN
2022-03-09 09:25:00 $81.7 +0.67% +0.64% +0.50% +1.65% +2.20% +2.66% - +0.65% WIN
2022-03-08 09:25:00 $86.58 -1.32% -0.32% +0.58% -0.50% -3.71% +0.91% -1.67% -0.97% LOSS
2022-03-04 09:25:00 $82.99 -0.11% +1.18% +1.05% +1.39% +4.02% +4.75% -0.35% -0.35% LOSS
2022-03-03 09:25:00 $81.32 +0.87% +0.39% +0.53% -0.01% +1.62% +1.76% -0.15% +0.86% WIN
2022-03-02 09:25:00 $82.41 +0.23% +0.93% -1.17% -0.19% -0.97% +1.23% -0.07% -0.07% WIN
2022-02-25 09:25:00 $76.2 -0.52% -0.09% -0.68% -0.22% +0.25% +1.26% -0.92% -0.77% LOSS
2022-02-24 09:25:00 $70.4 -0.70% +0.65% +1.82% +2.60% +6.73% +7.20% -1.02% -1.02% LOSS
2022-02-23 09:25:00 $71.38 +0.25% +1.26% +1.47% +0.80% -1.26% +1.72% -0.03% -0.03% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on BAH

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BAH's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BAH Strategy →

Why Analyze BAH with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BAH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BAH historically offers an average upside of +2.55% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BAH Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, BAH shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BAH performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.68%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.