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BB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 117 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 04, 1999 🔗 www.blackberry.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.25B 👥 Employees: 1,820
BlackBerry, once known for being the world's largest smartphone manufacturer, is now exclusively a software provider with a stated goal of end-to-end secure communications for enterprises. The firm provides endpoint management and other secure communications software to enterprises, specializing in regulated industries like government and financial institutions. BlackBerry also has a sizable embedded software business primarily serving the automotive market, with some exposure to the industrial market.
📊
117
Total Alerts
🎯
54.7%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.27%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+3.70%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 53.0%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.15%
Avg Loser: -1.36%
Best: +6.48%
Worst: -4.72%
Trades: 62/51

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.4%
Avg Gain: +0.32%
Avg Winner: +2.18%
Avg Loser: -1.72%
Best: +11.02%
Worst: -9.19%
Trades: 59/53

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.4%
Avg Gain: +0.32%
Avg Winner: +2.56%
Avg Loser: -2.06%
Best: +15.08%
Worst: -8.42%
Trades: 59/55

60MIN

Win Rate: 54.7%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +2.71%
Avg Loser: -2.77%
Best: +16.36%
Worst: -9.25%
Trades: 64/51

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.3%
Avg Gain: +0.51%
Avg Winner: +3.88%
Avg Loser: -3.15%
Best: +23.00%
Worst: -11.65%
Trades: 60/55

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.70%
Best MFE: +23.33%
Avg Time to MFE: 123 min

On average, BB alerts reach +3.70% profit potential within 123 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.10%
Worst MAE: -6.56%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.10%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.36:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.36x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 117 alerts, BB typically reaches +3.70% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 117
Gap Up % 36.8%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +2.12%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

How BB compares to 137 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BB: +0.01% Sector: -0.09% +0.11%
EOD Gain
BB: +0.51% Sector: +73.64% -73.13%
Avg MFE
BB: +3.70% Sector: +4.32% -0.63%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:29 $5.9 +1.19% -0.76% -0.66% -2.97% -3.56% +1.69% +0.68% +0.85% WIN
2025-02-13 09:26:27 $5.98 -3.60% -3.01% -4.52% -4.01% -1.17% +0.33% +0.17% - LOSS
2025-02-12 09:26:23 $5.19 +0.48% +1.06% +2.22% +3.37% +12.14% +12.72% - +0.77% WIN
2025-02-11 09:25:47 $5.5 -1.27% -1.91% -1.36% -1.09% -4.18% +1.27% -2.35% - LOSS
2025-02-10 09:25:31 $5.33 +0.08% +1.22% +2.44% +4.97% +3.94% +6.00% -0.75% -0.19% WIN
2025-02-07 09:25:53 $5.2 +0.58% +0.87% +2.51% +1.44% +0.96% +2.69% -0.38% -0.38% WIN
2025-02-06 09:25:13 $5.15 -1.36% -0.77% -0.19% -1.36% +0.19% +1.36% -1.94% -0.39% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:25:39 $4.66 -0.64% +1.27% +1.82% +2.79% +9.01% +9.23% -0.64% -0.21% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:29:29 $4.25 -0.35% -1.53% -0.96% +1.65% +1.41% +3.29% -3.02% -0.94% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:27:09 $4.35 -1.49% -1.72% -2.30% -2.41% -0.23% +1.49% -3.45% +0.23% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:53 $4.06 +0.37% +1.60% +2.74% +2.34% +0.74% +4.93% -1.72% -0.49% WIN
2025-01-21 09:29:37 $3.97 +2.39% +1.64% +1.13% +2.90% +2.52% +5.29% +0.25% +1.01% WIN
2025-01-13 09:28:42 $4.03 -0.80% -1.61% -1.97% -3.38% -2.23% +0.25% -1.24% -0.25% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:27:27 $3.99 -0.40% -0.25% -0.65% +0.25% +1.75% +3.26% -1.63% - LOSS
2025-01-08 09:29:37 $3.98 -0.88% -1.51% -1.63% -1.38% +1.76% +3.02% -2.51% +0.50% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:27:27 $4.12 +0.97% +3.16% +2.46% +0.49% -1.46% +5.58% -1.46% -0.24% WIN
2025-01-06 09:25:06 $3.77 +1.19% +6.64% +7.16% +6.86% +8.49% +9.15% +0.77% +2.12% WIN
2025-01-02 09:26:34 $3.83 +2.22% +3.56% +5.36% +5.61% -0.26% +7.05% -0.52% -0.26% WIN
2024-12-30 09:27:47 $3.8 +0.26% +0.00% -0.49% +0.35% +0.79% +2.37% -1.32% +1.05% WIN
2024-12-27 09:25:12 $3.95 -1.01% -0.73% -1.22% -3.16% -1.01% +0.38% -1.01% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 54.7% Baseline on BB

The 54.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BB's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BB Strategy →

Why Analyze BB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BB historically offers an average upside of +3.70% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.7%, BB shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BB performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.27%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.