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BCAB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 13 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-08-11 → 2025-01-30

⚠️ Small sample size (13 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 16, 2020 🔗 www.bioatla.com
💰 Market Cap: $22.6M 👥 Employees: 61
BioAtla Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. The company is engaged in the development of a novel class of specific and selective antibody-based therapeutics for the treatment of solid tumor cancer. Its pipeline products comprise mecbotamab vedotin (BA3011), ozuriftamab vedotin (BA3021), and evalstotug (BA3071), and its Phase 1 clinical trial of BA3182 (CAB-EpCAM x CAB-CD3) and Bispecific antibody programs.
📊
13
Total Alerts
🎯
30.8%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-3.75%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+8.39%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 23.1%
Avg Gain: -1.38%
Avg Winner: +4.48%
Avg Loser: -3.14%
Best: +6.74%
Worst: -9.31%
Trades: 3/10

15MIN

Win Rate: 23.1%
Avg Gain: -3.91%
Avg Winner: +2.76%
Avg Loser: -5.92%
Best: +3.68%
Worst: -20.76%
Trades: 3/10

30MIN

Win Rate: 30.8%
Avg Gain: -3.75%
Avg Winner: +0.60%
Avg Loser: -5.68%
Best: +1.20%
Worst: -14.15%
Trades: 4/9

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -4.74%
Avg Winner: +6.09%
Avg Loser: -8.35%
Best: +9.62%
Worst: -21.03%
Trades: 3/9

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 30.8%
Avg Gain: -4.43%
Avg Winner: +7.87%
Avg Loser: -9.90%
Best: +13.57%
Worst: -20.33%
Trades: 4/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.39%
Best MFE: +30.69%
Avg Time to MFE: 81 min

On average, BCAB alerts reach +8.39% profit potential within 81 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.97%
Worst MAE: -21.00%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.97%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.12:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.12x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 13 alerts, BCAB typically reaches +8.39% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 13
Gap Up % 30.8%
Avg Gap -1.14%
Best Gap +0.48%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How BCAB compares to 128 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BCAB: -1.40% Sector: -0.41% -0.99%
EOD Gain
BCAB: -4.89% Sector: +1233.50% -1238.40%
Avg MFE
BCAB: +8.77% Sector: +6.69% +2.08%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BCAB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-30 09:29:55 $0.47 -1.13% +1.29% +0.26% - +1.07% +3.86% -1.17% +0.21% LOSS
2024-10-04 09:25:31 $2.35 +0.43% -4.68% -7.45% -10.00% -6.38% +2.13% -2.55% -0.85% WIN
2024-10-03 09:26:05 $2.07 +6.28% +3.30% +0.04% -0.97% +13.53% +15.94% -4.83% +0.48% WIN
2024-10-01 09:25:10 $1.93 +6.74% +3.68% -1.04% -2.11% -10.36% +24.35% - +0.26% WIN
2024-09-23 09:29:33 $1.68 -1.49% -1.19% +0.89% -1.19% -1.19% +1.19% -1.79% -1.19% LOSS
2024-08-15 09:29:15 $1.82 -0.05% -1.65% +1.20% +9.62% +3.30% +17.09% -3.85% - LOSS
2024-07-23 09:29:47 $1.8 -0.56% -2.22% -5.56% +0.22% -2.78% +5.89% -5.00% - LOSS
2023-01-12 09:28:00 $3.76 -9.31% -9.57% -9.61% -9.04% -9.57% - - -1.60% LOSS
2023-01-11 09:29:00 $4.16 -3.12% -3.37% -0.69% -3.12% -11.06% +0.44% -0.24% +0.24% LOSS
2023-01-10 09:29:00 $5.0 -0.60% -2.40% -5.22% -19.70% -17.00% - -6.60% - LOSS
2022-11-04 09:25:00 $8.43 -5.46% -20.76% -7.18% -7.95% -10.44% +6.29% -21.00% -4.27% LOSS
2022-08-17 09:25:00 $12.79 -8.80% -11.10% -14.15% -21.03% -20.33% +1.25% -0.55% -6.25% LOSS
2022-08-11 09:25:00 $7.0 -0.86% -2.21% -0.21% +8.43% +13.57% +30.69% -4.00% -1.86% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ BCAB Shows Negative Expectancy

With 30.8% win rate and -3.75% average gain, BCAB alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider BCAB for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze BCAB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BCAB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BCAB historically offers an average upside of +8.39% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BCAB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 30.8%, BCAB shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests BCAB may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: BCAB shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -3.75%). This suggests BCAB is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.