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BDSX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-12 → 2023-07-12

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Biodesix, Inc. Common Stock SERVICES-MEDICAL LABORATORIES (SIC 8071)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 28, 2020 🔗 www.biodesix.com
💰 Market Cap: $93.4M 👥 Employees: 273
Biodesix Inc is a diagnostic solutions company with a focus in lung disease. The Company has a single operating segment focused on providing diagnostic testing services to customers. It provides biopharmaceutical companies with services that include diagnostic research, clinical trial testing, and the discovery, development, and commercialization of companion diagnostics. The revenue is derived from two sources, providing diagnostic testing services associated with blood-based lung and Covid tests; and providing biopharmaceutical companies with services generally provided outside the clinical setting and governed by individual contracts with third parties as well as development and commercialization of companion diagnostics.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.66%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+6.36%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.66%
Avg Winner: +3.09%
Avg Loser: -4.42%
Best: +4.85%
Worst: -6.98%
Trades: 3/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.91%
Avg Winner: +2.03%
Avg Loser: -5.17%
Best: +3.12%
Worst: -6.98%
Trades: 2/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -3.91%
Avg Winner: +1.35%
Avg Loser: -6.54%
Best: +2.08%
Worst: -15.97%
Trades: 2/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -4.45%
Avg Winner: +2.99%
Avg Loser: -9.40%
Best: +4.17%
Worst: -19.62%
Trades: 2/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -3.10%
Avg Winner: +9.48%
Avg Loser: -9.39%
Best: +18.33%
Worst: -18.91%
Trades: 2/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.36%
Best MFE: +20.00%
Avg Time to MFE: 69 min

On average, BDSX alerts reach +6.36% profit potential within 69 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.79%
Worst MAE: -6.72%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.79%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.28:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.28x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, BDSX typically reaches +6.36% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.58%
Best Gap +5.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-MEDICAL LABORATORIES

How BDSX compares to 18 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BDSX: +0.60% Sector: -0.18% +0.77%
EOD Gain
BDSX: -1.94% Sector: +911658.96% -911660.89%
Avg MFE
BDSX: +7.79% Sector: +11.20% -3.41%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BDSX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-07-12 09:26:00 $1.29 -6.98% -6.98% -5.43% - -8.91% -0.78% -5.43% -5.43% LOSS
2022-12-01 09:25:00 $1.6 +1.91% +0.94% -1.25% -5.67% -6.25% +8.75% - +0.62% WIN
2022-11-17 09:25:00 $1.2 -3.33% - +2.08% +4.17% +18.33% +20.00% -3.33% -3.33% LOSS
2022-04-14 09:25:00 $1.6 +4.85% +3.12% +0.62% +1.81% +0.62% +5.62% -1.25% +5.00% WIN
2022-04-13 09:25:00 $1.72 +2.51% -3.49% -3.50% -2.91% -3.49% +2.91% - +1.74% WIN
2022-04-12 09:25:00 $2.38 -2.94% -5.05% -15.97% -19.62% -18.91% +1.68% -6.72% -2.10% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ BDSX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.66% average gain, BDSX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider BDSX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze BDSX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BDSX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BDSX historically offers an average upside of +6.36% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BDSX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, BDSX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests BDSX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: BDSX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.66%). This suggests BDSX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.