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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$BDTX

Trade-Ideas alerts 33.3% at 60-min n=27 2022-01-11 → 2026-09-02

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 27 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Black Diamond Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) (SIC 2836)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 30, 2020 🔗 www.blackdiamondtherapeutics.com
💰 Market Cap: $108.6M 👥 Employees: 21
Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage oncology company developing MasterKey therapies that target families of oncogenic mutations in patients with cancer. The foundation of companies has been built upon a deep understanding of cancer genetics, onco-protein structure and function, and medicinal chemistry. Its clinical-stage program, silevertinib (formerly BDTX-1535), a brain-penetrant, fourth-generation epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) MasterKey inhibitor, is currently being studied in a Phase 2 clinical trial in patients with epidermal growth factor receptor mutant (EGFRm) non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The Company manages its operations as a single operating segment and single reportable segment.
Total alerts
27
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
33.3%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
-3.38%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+5.18%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading BDTX on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 29.6%
Avg Gain: -1.01%
Avg Winner: +1.28%
Avg Loser: -2.08%
Best: +3.40%
Worst: -8.66%
Trades: 8/18

15MIN

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -2.27%
Avg Winner: +2.42%
Avg Loser: -3.79%
Best: +4.41%
Worst: -21.20%
Trades: 6/20

30MIN

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -2.91%
Avg Winner: +2.58%
Avg Loser: -4.48%
Best: +4.72%
Worst: -21.15%
Trades: 6/21

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -3.38%
Avg Winner: +1.93%
Avg Loser: -6.04%
Best: +6.94%
Worst: -25.97%
Trades: 9/18

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -2.05%
Avg Winner: +9.49%
Avg Loser: -5.35%
Best: +40.77%
Worst: -25.50%
Trades: 6/21

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.18%
Best MFE: +56.04%
Avg Time to MFE: 78 min

On average, BDTX alerts reach +5.18% profit potential within 78 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.60%
Worst MAE: -28.25%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.60%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.44:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 27 alerts, BDTX typically reaches +5.18% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 27
Gap Up % 18.5%
Avg Gap -0.53%
Best Gap +2.18%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)

How BDTX compares to 144 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BDTX: -1.01% Sector: -0.29% -0.72%
EOD Gain
BDTX: -2.05% Sector: +750.04% -752.09%
Avg MFE
BDTX: +5.18% Sector: +6.58% -1.40%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BDTX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-02 09:25:00 $2.06 +0.49% +4.02% +3.64% +2.18% +3.88% +4.61% -0.49% +0.97% WIN
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $2.1 -0.93% -0.24% -1.19% -2.14% -2.86% +0.48% -0.95% -0.48% LOSS
2026-06-18 09:25:00 $1.71 -0.58% +0.60% -1.17% -3.22% -2.92% +1.17% -0.58% -0.58% LOSS
2026-06-08 09:25:00 $2.0 +0.00% -0.75% -2.25% -3.00% -7.50% +0.46% -0.25% +0.00% LOSS
2026-05-27 09:25:00 $2.33 -0.64% +1.72% +4.72% +1.50% -0.86% +5.36% -2.15% +0.00% LOSS
2026-05-26 09:25:00 $2.38 +1.13% -0.42% -1.26% +2.10% -2.10% +4.62% -2.52% -0.21% WIN
2026-05-22 09:25:00 $3.06 -1.67% -6.88% -9.49% -10.15% -25.50% +0.44% -2.31% -1.65% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:29:44 $2.2 -1.82% -0.45% -2.05% -4.32% +2.27% +3.64% -5.45% +0.00% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:27:24 $2.46 +1.61% -3.66% -9.35% -6.70% -6.10% +8.54% -6.91% -2.85% WIN
2024-09-24 09:29:20 $4.5 -0.27% -3.56% -1.56% -3.78% +1.78% +8.89% -5.56% +0.00% LOSS
2024-09-23 09:26:40 $5.67 -7.76% -15.87% -9.85% -7.57% -20.63% +0.35% -6.17% -0.53% LOSS
2023-08-15 09:27:00 $3.25 +0.62% +1.85% -1.23% -0.77% -2.46% +2.46% -0.31% +0.31% WIN
2023-07-19 09:29:00 $4.94 -0.20% +0.00% +1.21% +1.21% -2.43% +1.62% -1.42% -1.42% LOSS
2023-07-18 09:27:00 $4.91 +1.63% -0.31% +0.41% +0.20% -1.02% +2.14% -0.61% +1.63% WIN
2023-07-14 09:26:00 $5.03 +0.13% -1.19% -2.19% -1.79% -3.58% +0.20% +0.20% -0.60% WIN
2023-07-12 09:25:00 $5.07 -0.39% -0.79% -4.74% -2.76% -2.76% +0.39% -0.99% +0.00% LOSS
2023-07-11 09:26:00 $4.78 -0.63% -1.54% -1.68% +0.42% +4.39% +5.02% -2.72% +0.00% LOSS
2023-07-10 09:28:00 $4.7 +3.40% -2.13% +1.49% -0.21% -0.85% +5.32% -3.19% -0.43% WIN
2023-07-06 09:29:00 $4.78 -2.48% -4.18% -6.28% -10.64% -6.28% -0.62% -1.26% -0.84% LOSS
2023-07-05 09:26:00 $4.68 -3.60% -0.96% -1.60% +2.35% +3.85% +5.13% -3.63% -1.28% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ BDTX Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.3% win rate and -3.38% average gain, BDTX alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider BDTX for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze BDTX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BDTX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BDTX historically offers an average upside of +5.18% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BDTX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, BDTX shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests BDTX may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: BDTX shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -3.38%). This suggests BDTX is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.