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BEKE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 285 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

KE Holdings Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing three Class A Ordinary Shares)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Aug 13, 2020 🔗 investors.ke.com
💰 Market Cap: $19.53B 👥 Employees: 135,072
KE Holdings, or Beike, is a large residential real estate sales and rental brokerage company in China. Founded in 2001, the company operates through self-owned Lianjia stores in Beijing and Shanghai and connected third-party agencies, including franchise brand Deyou in other cities, with commissions charged on existing-home and new-home transactions. Leveraging an online-offline hybrid model, Beike also attract clients through its namesake online marketplace. The company tapped into home renovation services by acquiring Shengdu Home Decoration in 2022. As of the end of 2024, Beike's co-founders collectively control the company, while Tencent and its affiliates share 8% of voting power.
📊
285
Total Alerts
🎯
50.9%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.00%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+3.33%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.9%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +1.31%
Avg Loser: -1.38%
Best: +8.80%
Worst: -8.10%
Trades: 145/137

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.0%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +1.88%
Avg Loser: -2.32%
Best: +7.56%
Worst: -7.44%
Trades: 134/146

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.1%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +2.27%
Avg Loser: -2.69%
Best: +10.43%
Worst: -12.95%
Trades: 140/143

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +2.58%
Avg Loser: -2.90%
Best: +17.04%
Worst: -14.78%
Trades: 137/148

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.9%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +2.97%
Avg Loser: -3.31%
Best: +16.90%
Worst: -14.96%
Trades: 139/139

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.33%
Best MFE: +26.67%
Avg Time to MFE: 87 min

On average, BEKE alerts reach +3.33% profit potential within 87 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.34%
Worst MAE: -14.10%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.34%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.49:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.49x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 285 alerts, BEKE typically reaches +3.33% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 285
Gap Up % 43.9%
Avg Gap -0.09%
Best Gap +3.40%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BEKE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:36 $21.05 -1.95% -2.28% -1.43% -3.42% -2.61% - -0.10% -0.19% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:28:34 $19.81 +1.97% +1.06% +0.71% +1.14% +2.93% +2.95% - +0.76% WIN
2025-02-12 09:27:24 $21.0 -0.38% -0.86% -1.81% +1.05% -2.29% +1.71% -2.57% +0.19% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:29:42 $18.94 +1.27% +0.32% +1.90% +1.80% +2.80% +3.33% -0.42% +0.21% WIN
2025-02-05 09:26:55 $17.27 +0.17% -0.17% -0.81% -0.96% -0.41% +0.75% -0.46% -0.41% WIN
2025-01-14 09:28:28 $16.9 -0.77% -1.95% -2.28% -2.78% -1.95% +1.07% -0.98% +0.12% LOSS
2024-12-12 09:29:58 $19.9 -1.51% -0.40% -0.78% -0.93% +0.95% +2.51% -1.81% -0.10% LOSS
2024-12-10 09:29:17 $20.07 +3.54% +3.84% +2.54% +2.57% +1.35% +3.86% -0.35% +0.05% WIN
2024-12-09 09:28:00 $21.06 +0.85% +3.82% +5.78% +2.30% -0.19% +6.84% -1.00% +0.38% WIN
2024-11-27 09:28:00 $19.21 +0.60% +0.57% +1.43% +1.28% -1.04% +2.13% -0.36% +0.05% WIN
2024-11-21 09:25:27 $20.0 -4.35% +0.50% +0.95% +2.30% -0.10% +2.59% -5.75% -3.75% LOSS
2024-11-14 09:27:31 $19.39 +0.21% -0.46% -1.08% -0.18% -0.15% +0.93% -0.57% -0.26% WIN
2024-11-13 09:25:39 $21.15 -1.49% -2.84% -5.20% -5.32% -5.53% +0.33% -0.19% -0.57% LOSS
2024-11-12 09:26:46 $20.62 +1.36% +2.04% +1.65% -0.85% -1.07% +2.52% -0.48% -0.24% WIN
2024-11-08 09:28:44 $22.19 -0.59% -0.58% -1.62% -5.27% -5.41% +0.59% -0.32% +0.32% LOSS
2024-11-07 09:26:28 $23.64 +3.28% +1.60% +0.38% -1.02% -0.59% +3.93% -0.21% +0.72% WIN
2024-11-06 09:29:46 $22.09 -1.22% -0.36% +0.09% +1.63% +1.81% +2.40% -1.72% - LOSS
2024-11-01 09:27:25 $22.11 +1.04% +0.54% +1.58% +0.81% -0.09% +1.88% -0.05% -0.05% WIN
2024-10-30 09:29:39 $21.5 +3.07% +2.53% +4.02% +4.37% +3.12% +5.14% +0.98% +1.30% WIN
2024-10-29 09:25:40 $23.12 -1.08% -2.68% -1.62% -2.83% -4.15% +0.26% -2.60% -2.60% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ BEKE Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 50.9% win rate, BEKE has +0.00% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making BEKE profitable.

🔧 Fix BEKE Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze BEKE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BEKE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BEKE historically offers an average upside of +3.33% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BEKE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.9%, BEKE shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: BEKE shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at +0.00%). This suggests BEKE is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.