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BF.B Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 23 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-10 → 2025-01-06

⚠️ Small sample size (23 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Brown-Forman Corporation Class B BEVERAGES (SIC 2080)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 30, 1972 🔗 www.brown-forman.com
💰 Market Cap: $12.77B 👥 Employees: 5,000
Brown-Forman is a US-based manufacturer of premium distilled spirits that generates 71% of revenue in the whiskey category, under well-known Tennessee whiskey brand Jack Daniel's and bourbon brands Woodford Reserve and Old Forester. It also manufactures and distributes tequila, vodka, rum, gin, and premium wines. The company generates 45% of sales from its home market, while the bulk of international revenue comes from Europe, Australia, and Latin America. The Brown family controls over 50% of the economic interests and a 67% voting power of the company.
📊
23
Total Alerts
🎯
56.5%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.12%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+1.42%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.5%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.06%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: +6.88%
Worst: -1.76%
Trades: 10/12

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.8%
Avg Gain: +0.21%
Avg Winner: +1.32%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: +6.70%
Worst: -2.73%
Trades: 11/12

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.8%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +1.31%
Avg Loser: -0.85%
Best: +6.15%
Worst: -3.23%
Trades: 11/12

60MIN

Win Rate: 56.5%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +1.11%
Avg Loser: -1.15%
Best: +6.04%
Worst: -3.98%
Trades: 13/10

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.8%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +1.92%
Avg Loser: -1.25%
Best: +7.90%
Worst: -5.00%
Trades: 11/12

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.42%
Best MFE: +8.08%
Avg Time to MFE: 160 min

On average, BF.B alerts reach +1.42% profit potential within 160 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.27%
Worst MAE: -1.91%
Avg Time to MAE: 22 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.27%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.21:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.21x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 23 alerts, BF.B typically reaches +1.42% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 23
Gap Up % 39.1%
Avg Gap +0.15%
Best Gap +7.27%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BEVERAGES

How BF.B compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BF.B: +0.10% Sector: -0.07% +0.16%
EOD Gain
BF.B: +0.26% Sector: +32.94% -32.67%
Avg MFE
BF.B: +1.42% Sector: +1.58% -0.16%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BF.B alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-06 09:28:32 $36.7 +0.08% +1.51% +0.37% +0.63% +0.38% +3.95% -0.93% -0.93% WIN
2024-12-11 09:29:41 $45.5 - +0.38% -0.40% +0.33% -1.14% +0.73% -0.70% -0.53% -
2024-12-10 09:25:16 $45.22 -0.40% -0.17% -0.38% -1.24% -0.09% +0.20% -0.62% +0.04% LOSS
2024-12-02 09:29:35 $42.08 -0.45% -1.19% -0.48% +0.19% +0.24% +0.74% -1.52% -0.19% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:29:11 $46.77 +0.29% +0.73% +0.99% +0.77% +1.71% +2.11% -0.15% - WIN
2023-06-21 09:29:00 $63.99 +0.80% +1.05% +1.63% +1.50% +3.64% +3.78% +0.41% +1.14% WIN
2023-06-16 09:25:00 $65.69 -0.27% -0.05% -0.03% -0.07% -0.44% +0.15% -0.27% -0.12% LOSS
2023-05-10 09:27:00 $63.8 +0.09% +0.19% +0.20% +0.17% +0.67% +0.72% -0.46% +0.30% WIN
2023-05-02 09:27:00 $65.29 -0.67% -0.61% -0.75% -1.13% -1.04% -0.26% -0.37% -0.37% LOSS
2023-03-24 09:29:00 $61.79 -0.26% -0.10% +0.24% +0.29% +1.88% +1.96% -0.34% +0.49% LOSS
2023-01-26 09:26:00 $68.2 -0.88% -1.12% -1.43% -1.60% -1.52% - - -0.38% LOSS
2022-12-06 09:25:00 $73.7 +0.95% +0.54% +0.41% +0.24% -0.07% +1.14% -0.16% -0.16% WIN
2022-08-29 09:25:00 $75.75 -0.59% -0.61% -0.77% -0.30% -0.54% +0.32% -1.40% -0.87% LOSS
2022-07-29 09:25:00 $73.75 -0.98% -0.65% -0.54% -0.49% +0.64% +1.06% -1.10% -0.85% LOSS
2022-07-27 09:25:00 $67.12 +6.88% +6.70% +6.15% +6.04% +7.90% +8.08% +5.57% +7.27% WIN
2022-07-19 09:25:00 $71.34 -0.54% -0.43% -0.73% -0.20% +0.08% +0.41% -1.00% -0.57% LOSS
2022-06-28 09:25:00 $72.0 +0.15% +1.03% +1.34% +1.07% -1.17% +1.44% +0.06% +0.47% WIN
2022-06-21 09:25:00 $66.72 +0.25% +0.86% +0.75% +0.58% +2.95% +3.22% -0.21% +0.30% WIN
2022-06-13 09:25:00 $67.86 -0.35% -0.96% -1.15% -1.81% -2.58% -0.06% -0.52% -0.35% LOSS
2022-04-28 09:25:00 $68.0 -1.19% -0.97% -0.35% -0.72% +1.03% +1.18% -1.40% -0.94% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 56.5% Baseline on BF.B

The 56.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BF.B's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BF.B Strategy →

Why Analyze BF.B with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BF.B. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BF.B historically offers an average upside of +1.42% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BF.B Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 56.5%, BF.B shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BF.B performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.12%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.