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Latest signal:

KO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 242 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-13

🏢 Company Profile

Coca-Cola Company BEVERAGES (SIC 2080)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 26, 1924 🔗 www.coca-colacompany.com
💰 Market Cap: $313.50B 👥 Employees: 69,700
Founded in 1886, Atlanta-headquartered Coca-Cola is the world's largest nonalcoholic beverage company, with a strong portfolio of 200 brands covering key categories including carbonated soft drinks, water, sports, energy, juice, and coffee. Together with bottlers and distribution partners, the company sells finished beverage products bearing Coca-Cola and licensed brands through retailers and food-service locations in more than 200 countries and regions globally. Coca-Cola generates around two thirds of its total revenue overseas, with a significant portion from emerging economies in Latin America and Asia-Pacific.
📊
242
Total Alerts
🎯
51.5%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.02%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+0.73%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.1%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.31%
Avg Loser: -0.31%
Best: +1.53%
Worst: -1.70%
Trades: 102/134

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.40%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: +2.01%
Worst: -2.36%
Trades: 113/125

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.3%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.45%
Avg Loser: -0.50%
Best: +2.25%
Worst: -2.08%
Trades: 117/121

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.3%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.49%
Avg Loser: -0.56%
Best: +2.49%
Worst: -2.40%
Trades: 117/125

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.5%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.68%
Avg Loser: -0.77%
Best: +2.81%
Worst: -6.56%
Trades: 124/115

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.73%
Best MFE: +2.98%
Avg Time to MFE: 147 min

On average, KO alerts reach +0.73% profit potential within 147 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.40%
Worst MAE: -2.46%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.40%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.82:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 242 alerts, KO typically reaches +0.73% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 242
Gap Up % 41.7%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +0.72%

🏭 Sector Comparison: BEVERAGES

How KO compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
KO: -0.04% Sector: -0.07% +0.03%
EOD Gain
KO: -0.02% Sector: +32.94% -32.96%
Avg MFE
KO: +0.73% Sector: +1.58% -0.85%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical KO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:28:53 $69.23 -0.07% +0.16% +0.35% +0.08% +0.39% +0.55% -0.33% -0.33% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:27:55 $66.83 +1.27% +1.08% +1.49% +1.83% +2.81% +2.98% -0.04% +0.06% WIN
2025-02-11 09:27:24 $67.48 -0.85% -0.61% -0.82% -1.22% +0.18% +0.28% -1.59% +0.03% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:28:49 $64.13 -0.59% -0.51% -0.31% -0.05% +0.65% +0.81% -0.73% -0.05% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:29:13 $63.1 -0.76% -0.81% -0.59% +0.45% +0.40% +0.84% -1.06% +0.13% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:26:18 $63.65 +0.44% +0.20% +0.01% +0.12% +0.63% +1.00% -0.66% +0.31% WIN
2025-01-29 09:26:36 $62.51 +0.51% +0.34% +0.45% +0.62% +0.51% +1.36% -0.02% +0.08% WIN
2025-01-28 09:25:05 $63.69 -0.41% +0.19% -0.09% -0.64% -2.09% +0.55% -0.50% -0.28% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:28:48 $62.77 +0.13% +0.54% +0.13% -0.22% +1.75% +2.25% -0.47% +0.16% WIN
2025-01-23 09:28:32 $61.96 -0.66% -0.94% -0.56% -0.65% -0.69% +0.03% -0.95% -0.26% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:25:40 $62.35 -0.58% -0.77% -0.88% -0.34% -0.91% -0.10% -1.11% -0.37% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:26:11 $62.1 +0.80% +0.53% +0.60% +0.34% -0.53% +0.84% - +0.37% WIN
2025-01-08 09:25:14 $60.8 +0.41% +0.57% +0.30% +0.76% +1.50% +1.60% - +0.31% WIN
2025-01-07 09:28:16 $60.96 +0.25% +0.80% +1.03% +0.90% -0.20% +1.24% - +0.25% WIN
2025-01-06 09:28:38 $61.7 -0.52% -0.36% -0.36% -1.05% -1.44% - -0.29% -0.32% LOSS
2024-12-16 09:29:26 $63.35 +0.65% +0.05% +0.03% +0.41% -1.26% +0.81% -0.36% -0.19% WIN
2024-12-13 09:25:42 $63.55 -0.42% +0.08% -0.27% -0.08% -0.68% +0.45% -0.69% +0.03% LOSS
2024-12-12 09:28:03 $63.4 -0.19% +0.13% +0.30% +0.43% +0.69% +0.82% -0.28% +0.24% LOSS
2024-12-10 09:25:51 $62.75 -0.37% -0.94% -1.35% -0.70% +0.26% +0.46% -1.53% -0.08% LOSS
2024-12-06 09:29:21 $62.9 +0.43% +0.35% +0.70% +0.21% -0.59% +0.73% -0.33% -0.11% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ KO Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 51.5% win rate, KO has -0.02% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making KO profitable.

🔧 Fix KO Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze KO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, KO historically offers an average upside of +0.73% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 KO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.5%, KO shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.77%) outweigh average wins (+0.68%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: KO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.02%). This suggests KO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.