Latest signal:
KDP Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 75 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-07 → 2025-02-11
⚠️ Small sample size (75 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, KDP alerts reach +0.90% profit potential within 121 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.36%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.5x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 75 alerts, KDP typically reaches +0.90% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: BEVERAGES
How KDP compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical KDP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-11 | 09:25:43 | $30.99 | -0.37% | -0.02% | +0.19% | +0.05% | +1.84% | +2.00% | -0.47% | -0.13% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:29:12 | $31.5 | -1.24% | -1.11% | -1.60% | -1.52% | -1.59% | -0.16% | -0.83% | -0.16% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-05 | 09:26:37 | $31.79 | -1.50% | -1.45% | -1.73% | -1.20% | -2.08% | -0.49% | -1.98% | -1.68% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:25:33 | $31.63 | -0.16% | -0.27% | -0.35% | -0.03% | -0.43% | +0.40% | -0.52% | -0.13% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-20 | 09:27:32 | $32.09 | +0.61% | +0.34% | -0.03% | -0.02% | +0.87% | +1.78% | -0.50% | +0.50% | WIN |
| 2024-11-26 | 09:29:01 | $32.9 | -0.03% | +0.43% | +0.03% | -0.09% | -0.76% | +0.43% | -0.36% | -0.15% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-21 | 09:28:41 | $32.03 | - | -0.22% | -0.06% | +0.25% | +0.66% | +0.84% | -0.50% | -0.06% | - |
| 2024-11-20 | 09:28:41 | $31.5 | +0.79% | +0.51% | +0.78% | +0.49% | +1.71% | +1.78% | -0.57% | -0.03% | WIN |
| 2024-11-14 | 09:25:44 | $33.52 | +0.12% | +0.12% | +0.07% | -0.25% | -0.42% | +0.48% | -0.48% | -0.06% | WIN |
| 2024-11-01 | 09:25:03 | $32.9 | +0.00% | -0.27% | -0.14% | -0.26% | -0.24% | +0.24% | -0.09% | +0.06% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-31 | 09:29:30 | $32.96 | -0.06% | -0.11% | +0.03% | +0.14% | -0.03% | +0.49% | -0.39% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-10-30 | 09:27:53 | $32.99 | -0.12% | -0.03% | -0.05% | -0.05% | - | +0.30% | -0.73% | -0.33% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-29 | 09:26:55 | $32.44 | +0.65% | +0.11% | +0.80% | +0.97% | +1.36% | +2.16% | -0.25% | +0.15% | WIN |
| 2024-10-15 | 09:25:06 | $36.81 | -0.41% | -0.57% | -0.29% | +0.42% | +0.30% | +1.06% | -0.73% | -0.46% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-07 | 09:28:00 | $36.38 | -0.26% | -0.18% | +0.15% | +0.03% | -0.63% | +0.36% | -0.43% | +0.06% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-03 | 09:25:34 | $36.98 | -0.32% | -0.68% | -0.99% | -0.69% | -0.92% | - | -0.22% | -0.35% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-01 | 09:28:52 | $37.48 | +0.08% | +0.07% | +0.08% | +0.24% | -0.77% | +0.64% | -0.12% | +0.64% | WIN |
| 2024-09-18 | 09:29:25 | $37.05 | +1.30% | +1.62% | +1.48% | +1.50% | +1.21% | +1.67% | +0.67% | +0.86% | WIN |
| 2024-08-07 | 09:25:59 | $34.65 | -1.13% | -0.29% | +0.19% | +0.26% | -0.20% | +0.81% | -1.13% | -0.26% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-06 | 09:26:18 | $34.24 | +0.66% | +1.96% | +1.64% | +1.64% | +0.70% | +2.06% | -0.12% | - | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ KDP Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 52.0% win rate, KDP has -0.02% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making KDP profitable.
🔧 Fix KDP Risk/Reward →Why Analyze KDP with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for KDP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, KDP historically offers an average upside of +0.90% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 KDP Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 52.0%, KDP shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.66%) outweigh average wins (+0.57%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: KDP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.02%). This suggests KDP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.