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BFH Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-28 → 2023-12-04

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. PERSONAL CREDIT INSTITUTIONS (SIC 6141)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 07, 2001 🔗 www.breadfinancial.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.14B 👥 Employees: 6,000
Formed by a combination of JCPenney's credit card processing unit and The Limited's credit card bank business, Bread Financial is a provider of private-label and co-branded credit cards, loyalty programs, and marketing services. The company's most financially significant unit is its credit card business that partners with retailers to jointly market Bread's credit cards to their customers. The company also retains a minority interest in spun-off LoyaltyOne, which operates the largest airline miles loyalty program in Canada and offers marketing services to grocery chains in Europe and Asia.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.25%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+3.57%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.25%
Avg Winner: +1.25%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.33%
Worst: +1.17%
Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.85%
Avg Winner: +2.85%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.32%
Worst: +2.38%
Trades: 2/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.92%
Avg Winner: +2.92%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.68%
Worst: +2.16%
Trades: 2/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.92%
Avg Winner: +1.92%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.74%
Worst: +1.10%
Trades: 2/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.87%
Avg Winner: +1.07%
Avg Loser: -2.80%
Best: +1.07%
Worst: -2.80%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.57%
Best MFE: +3.96%
Avg Time to MFE: 25 min

On average, BFH alerts reach +3.57% profit potential within 25 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.06%
Worst MAE: -0.82%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.06%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

62.88:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 62.88x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, BFH typically reaches +3.57% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.17%
Best Gap +0.93%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PERSONAL CREDIT INSTITUTIONS

How BFH compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BFH: +1.25% Sector: +0.12% +1.13%
EOD Gain
BFH: -0.87% Sector: +0.18% -1.05%
Avg MFE
BFH: +3.57% Sector: +4.43% -0.86%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BFH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-12-04 09:29:00 $29.0 +1.17% +2.38% +2.16% +1.10% +1.07% +3.17% -0.82% -0.59% WIN
2022-06-28 09:25:00 $40.68 +1.33% +3.32% +3.68% +2.74% -2.80% +3.96% +0.93% +0.93% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on BFH

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BFH's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BFH Strategy →

Why Analyze BFH with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BFH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BFH historically offers an average upside of +3.57% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BFH Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, BFH shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BFH performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.25%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.