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BFLY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 27 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-11 → 2025-01-30

⚠️ Small sample size (27 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 16, 2021 🔗 www.butterflynetwork.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.14B 👥 Employees: 190
Butterfly Network Inc is a digital health business transforming care with handheld, whole-body ultrasound. Powered by its proprietary Ultrasound-on-Chip technology, its solution enables the acquisition of imaging information from an affordable, powerful device that fits in a healthcare professional's pocket with a combination of cloud-connected software and hardware technology that is easily accessed through a mobile application. The company enables the practical application of ultrasound information in the clinical workflow. Butterfly iQ+ is an ultrasound device that can perform whole-body imaging in a single handheld probe using semiconductor technology. With its small, handheld size, low cost, and simple user interface.
📊
27
Total Alerts
🎯
63.0%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+2.11%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+9.43%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.79%
Avg Winner: +3.66%
Avg Loser: -1.61%
Best: +13.06%
Worst: -5.83%
Trades: 12/14

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.1%
Avg Gain: +0.41%
Avg Winner: +4.12%
Avg Loser: -3.04%
Best: +11.62%
Worst: -11.92%
Trades: 13/14

30MIN

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: +0.94%
Avg Winner: +4.88%
Avg Loser: -3.98%
Best: +17.59%
Worst: -15.48%
Trades: 15/12

60MIN

Win Rate: 63.0%
Avg Gain: +2.11%
Avg Winner: +6.56%
Avg Loser: -5.45%
Best: +17.59%
Worst: -21.97%
Trades: 17/10

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 59.3%
Avg Gain: +1.24%
Avg Winner: +7.34%
Avg Loser: -7.62%
Best: +20.29%
Worst: -24.69%
Trades: 16/11

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.43%
Best MFE: +24.12%
Avg Time to MFE: 101 min

On average, BFLY alerts reach +9.43% profit potential within 101 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.10%
Worst MAE: -7.89%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.10%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.5:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.5x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 27 alerts, BFLY typically reaches +9.43% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 27
Gap Up % 18.5%
Avg Gap -0.71%
Best Gap +3.05%

🏭 Sector Comparison: X-RAY APPARATUS & TUBES & RELATED IRRADIATION APPARATUS

How BFLY compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BFLY: +0.79% Sector: +0.40% +0.39%
EOD Gain
BFLY: +1.24% Sector: +0.39% +0.85%
Avg MFE
BFLY: +9.43% Sector: +4.48% +4.95%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BFLY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-30 09:28:36 $3.4 +6.47% +11.62% +17.59% +17.59% +20.29% +24.12% -1.47% - WIN
2025-01-21 09:27:46 $3.9 +0.26% -0.51% -1.54% +0.90% +0.26% +4.10% -2.82% -1.54% WIN
2024-11-06 09:25:10 $2.5 -1.20% +1.20% -1.20% +6.00% +2.80% +10.00% -4.00% -0.40% LOSS
2024-11-01 09:28:50 $1.88 +8.97% -1.65% -3.19% -3.72% +7.98% +11.70% -1.60% -0.53% WIN
2024-10-21 09:26:18 $1.83 -0.98% -4.37% -3.87% -2.78% -3.83% - - - LOSS
2024-09-11 09:25:40 $2.01 +2.99% -0.75% +3.48% +8.56% -3.98% +9.45% -1.99% -0.99% WIN
2024-09-05 09:28:14 $1.57 +13.06% +4.41% +2.87% +10.50% +5.73% +14.01% -1.91% +0.64% WIN
2023-12-19 09:28:00 $0.94 -0.56% +5.85% +7.99% +10.14% +12.26% +16.54% -2.68% -0.55% LOSS
2023-10-24 09:25:00 $0.83 - +1.88% +2.98% +5.42% +14.26% +16.10% -1.20% - -
2023-09-21 09:29:00 $1.14 +1.62% +3.95% +4.82% +11.84% +7.02% +21.12% -0.88% -0.88% WIN
2023-09-20 09:29:00 $1.31 +0.56% -0.76% -4.02% -3.05% -11.45% +3.05% +0.76% +3.05% WIN
2023-05-11 09:25:00 $2.39 -2.93% -11.92% -15.48% -21.97% -24.69% +0.42% -0.42% -1.67% LOSS
2023-04-21 09:28:00 $2.37 +0.21% -0.42% -1.48% +0.42% +2.53% +3.59% -2.95% -0.84% WIN
2023-04-12 09:26:00 $2.89 -1.73% -5.71% -5.54% -8.31% -10.38% +0.69% +0.69% -0.35% LOSS
2023-04-11 09:27:00 $2.64 -0.37% +2.68% +5.87% +7.01% +6.44% +9.09% -1.33% -0.38% LOSS
2023-04-06 09:28:00 $2.11 -0.47% -1.40% -2.36% +2.79% +8.06% +15.17% -2.37% -0.95% LOSS
2023-04-05 09:29:00 $2.27 -0.80% -3.92% -2.42% -1.76% -9.25% +5.29% - - LOSS
2023-04-04 09:27:00 $2.28 -0.04% -1.32% +3.07% +4.61% -0.44% +11.40% -7.89% -1.32% LOSS
2022-12-21 09:25:00 $2.42 -2.48% +3.93% +2.89% +5.17% +2.89% +10.12% -4.55% -0.41% LOSS
2022-11-03 09:25:00 $4.08 -0.12% +3.68% +1.10% +0.67% -3.43% +6.62% -2.45% -0.12% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 63.0% Baseline on BFLY

The 63.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BFLY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BFLY Strategy →

Why Analyze BFLY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BFLY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BFLY historically offers an average upside of +9.43% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BFLY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 63.0%, BFLY shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BFLY performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.11%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.