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BGC Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-07-28 → 2024-03-08
⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, BGC alerts reach +1.72% profit potential within 53 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.69%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.5x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, BGC typically reaches +1.72% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SECURITY & COMMODITY BROKERS, DEALERS, EXCHANGES & SERVICES
How BGC compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical BGC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-08 | 09:29:17 | $8.46 | +0.06% | +1.18% | +1.48% | +2.01% | +0.47% | +2.48% | -0.12% | +0.12% | WIN |
| 2023-12-14 | 09:26:00 | $6.6 | -1.97% | -1.82% | -2.42% | -4.39% | -4.55% | -1.52% | -2.58% | -2.58% | LOSS |
| 2023-07-28 | 09:29:00 | $4.76 | +1.89% | +1.68% | +2.52% | +2.63% | +2.10% | +4.20% | +0.63% | +0.84% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ BGC Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 66.7% win rate, BGC has -0.01% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making BGC profitable.
🔧 Fix BGC Risk/Reward →Why Analyze BGC with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BGC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, BGC historically offers an average upside of +1.72% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 BGC Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, BGC shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.97%) outweigh average wins (+0.97%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: BGC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.01%). This suggests BGC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.