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BILI Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 602 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, BILI alerts reach +3.01% profit potential within 92 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.17%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.57x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 602 alerts, BILI typically reaches +3.01% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical BILI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:29:01 | $22.09 | +1.72% | +0.50% | +2.31% | -1.68% | -0.45% | +2.97% | -0.43% | -0.41% | WIN |
| 2025-02-13 | 09:29:27 | $18.85 | +0.95% | -0.37% | +1.01% | +1.59% | +5.15% | +5.89% | -1.33% | +0.11% | WIN |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:29:07 | $17.87 | +1.46% | +1.46% | +1.85% | +2.85% | +4.81% | +5.23% | -0.39% | -0.22% | WIN |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:25:29 | $17.68 | -0.85% | - | -0.91% | -0.11% | -0.40% | +0.57% | -1.58% | +0.17% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-10 | 09:25:59 | $18.85 | -0.93% | -1.17% | -3.29% | -2.36% | -2.71% | +0.21% | -0.27% | -0.05% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-07 | 09:28:56 | $18.87 | +1.41% | +0.82% | +0.64% | -0.32% | -1.91% | +1.85% | -0.42% | -0.05% | WIN |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:27:57 | $18.19 | +1.07% | +0.22% | +0.06% | +0.38% | -0.71% | +1.76% | - | +0.27% | WIN |
| 2025-02-05 | 09:25:46 | $18.05 | -0.78% | -1.05% | -1.33% | -1.77% | -2.99% | +0.33% | -0.55% | +0.22% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-04 | 09:27:31 | $17.68 | +1.24% | +0.84% | +1.02% | +1.64% | -0.11% | +2.49% | -0.23% | +0.17% | WIN |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:25:52 | $16.19 | +1.30% | +4.63% | +4.57% | +5.06% | +3.27% | +6.24% | -0.31% | -0.22% | WIN |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:28:04 | $17.52 | +0.06% | -0.86% | -2.17% | -2.57% | -4.22% | +1.43% | +0.17% | +0.17% | WIN |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:29:41 | $17.23 | +0.06% | -1.57% | -2.64% | -2.52% | -1.45% | +0.35% | -0.75% | - | WIN |
| 2025-01-24 | 09:25:31 | $16.83 | -0.83% | -1.96% | -2.29% | -2.64% | +0.36% | +0.42% | -2.85% | -0.12% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:28:38 | $16.6 | -1.08% | -1.75% | -1.46% | -0.90% | -1.75% | +0.27% | -0.66% | +0.18% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:26:52 | $17.23 | +0.52% | +2.03% | +4.12% | +2.67% | +1.39% | +5.05% | -0.52% | - | WIN |
| 2025-01-16 | 09:27:52 | $17.34 | -1.12% | -1.24% | -1.27% | -1.50% | -2.08% | +0.40% | -0.52% | -0.17% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-14 | 09:26:50 | $16.83 | +0.12% | -0.42% | -0.83% | -0.68% | -1.07% | +1.13% | -0.06% | +0.48% | WIN |
| 2025-01-10 | 09:27:23 | $16.21 | -1.47% | -1.94% | -0.31% | -0.65% | -1.48% | -0.06% | -0.06% | -0.12% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-08 | 09:27:17 | $17.03 | - | -0.59% | -1.12% | -0.70% | -1.47% | +0.59% | -0.35% | +0.59% | - |
| 2025-01-06 | 09:29:41 | $17.36 | +0.29% | -0.40% | +0.17% | +0.63% | -2.13% | +1.67% | -0.29% | +0.06% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ BILI Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 50.5% win rate, BILI has -0.02% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making BILI profitable.
🔧 Fix BILI Risk/Reward →Why Analyze BILI with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BILI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, BILI historically offers an average upside of +3.01% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 BILI Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 50.5%, BILI shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.02%) outweigh average wins (+1.92%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: BILI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.02%). This suggests BILI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.