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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$BILI

Trade-Ideas alerts 50.3% at 30-min n=710 2022-01-03 → 2026-09-28

🏢 Company Profile

Bilibili Inc. American Depositary Shares
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 28, 2018 🔗 www.bilibili.com
💰 Market Cap: $9.20B 👥 Employees: 8,088
Bilibili is a Chinese online entertainment platform best known for its YouTube-like video-sharing service. Founded in 2009, it initially focused on long-form content centered around anime, comics, and gaming, or ACG, catering primarily to Generation Z users. Over time, the platform has expanded its content ecosystem to cover a broader range of interests, successfully attracting a more diverse audience beyond its original Gen Z base.
Total alerts
710
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
50.3%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
-0.01%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+2.80%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading BILI on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

Playable BILI setups

Historical BILI setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 49.0%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: +6.27%
Worst: -4.57%
Trades: 347/341

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.6%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.56%
Avg Loser: -1.56%
Best: +7.70%
Worst: -10.03%
Trades: 330/367

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.3%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.78%
Avg Loser: -1.86%
Best: +9.97%
Worst: -9.66%
Trades: 356/347

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.0%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +2.32%
Avg Loser: -2.08%
Best: +16.72%
Worst: -13.41%
Trades: 333/363

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 44.7%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +2.98%
Avg Loser: -2.38%
Best: +17.74%
Worst: -14.52%
Trades: 317/384

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.80%
Best MFE: +25.80%
Avg Time to MFE: 92 min

On average, BILI alerts reach +2.80% profit potential within 92 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.08%
Worst MAE: -12.18%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.08%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.6:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.6x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 710 alerts, BILI typically reaches +2.80% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 710
Gap Up % 42.5%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +2.44%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BILI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $15.29 +0.03% -0.56% -0.59% -0.26% -0.95% +0.49% +0.10% +0.07% WIN
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $14.9 +0.00% -1.04% -1.17% -1.21% -0.64% +0.30% -0.64% -0.44% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $15.35 +0.33% +0.91% +0.26% -0.42% -0.39% +1.14% +0.07% +0.20% WIN
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $14.73 +0.63% +0.90% +2.12% +1.95% +1.17% +2.33% -0.12% +0.53% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $14.63 -0.68% -1.09% -0.96% -0.82% -1.57% +0.75% +0.75% +0.14% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $15.15 -0.56% -0.46% -0.80% -1.15% -1.65% +0.40% +0.40% -0.07% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $15.47 -0.06% -0.26% +0.13% +0.70% +0.00% +0.91% -0.65% -0.13% LOSS
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $15.85 +0.50% -0.02% -0.16% +0.03% +0.38% +1.32% +0.00% +0.47% WIN
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $15.77 +1.27% +0.70% +0.86% +0.79% +2.73% +3.74% -0.06% +0.32% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $15.21 +2.43% +4.87% +0.69% +0.89% +0.13% +6.02% -0.72% +0.66% WIN
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $15.31 -0.26% -0.39% -0.52% -0.10% +1.24% +1.70% -0.98% +0.00% LOSS
2026-09-02 09:25:00 $15.63 -0.48% -0.80% -0.16% -0.77% -1.15% +0.00% -0.51% -0.70% LOSS
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $15.96 -0.63% -0.47% +0.88% -0.03% -1.07% +1.07% -0.75% +0.06% LOSS
2026-08-31 09:25:00 $16.5 +0.15% -0.18% -1.33% -0.70% -2.06% +0.61% -0.24% +0.18% WIN
2026-08-27 09:25:00 $16.1 +0.12% +1.06% +2.30% +3.07% +4.13% +4.32% -0.81% +0.50% WIN
2026-08-26 09:25:00 $16.21 +0.12% +0.34% +0.40% +0.46% -0.37% +0.99% +0.00% +0.06% WIN
2026-08-25 09:25:00 $16.57 -0.24% +0.00% -0.12% +0.81% +0.00% +1.00% -0.42% -0.18% LOSS
2026-08-24 09:25:00 $16.69 -0.78% -0.36% -1.26% -1.08% -1.14% +0.18% -0.66% -0.15% LOSS
2026-08-21 09:25:00 $17.1 -0.06% -0.50% -0.61% -0.35% -0.23% +0.91% -1.05% -0.23% LOSS
2026-08-20 09:25:00 $16.59 -0.36% +0.06% +0.42% +0.36% +0.42% +1.30% -0.60% +0.12% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ BILI Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 50.3% win rate, BILI has -0.01% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making BILI profitable.

🔧 Fix BILI Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze BILI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BILI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BILI historically offers an average upside of +2.80% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BILI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.3%, BILI shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.86%) outweigh average wins (+1.78%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: BILI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.01%). This suggests BILI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.