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BITI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 345 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-29 → 2025-02-12

🏢 Company Profile

ProShares Short Bitcoin ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Jun 21, 2022
📊
345
Total Alerts
🎯
67.2%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+160.75%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.85%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.2%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.24%
Avg Loser: -0.29%
Best: +1.02%
Worst: -2.90%
Trades: 162/158

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.2%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.47%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +2.34%
Worst: -2.07%
Trades: 162/171

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.0%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -0.59%
Best: +2.40%
Worst: -2.73%
Trades: 168/167

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.7%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.78%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +3.87%
Worst: -5.37%
Trades: 167/169

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 67.2%
Avg Gain: +160.75%
Avg Winner: +239.96%
Avg Loser: -1.91%
Best: +442.22%
Worst: -11.09%
Trades: 232/110

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.85%
Best MFE: +12.33%
Avg Time to MFE: 154 min

On average, BITI alerts reach +1.85% profit potential within 154 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.62%
Worst MAE: -7.67%
Avg Time to MAE: 31 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.62%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.98:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.98x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 345 alerts, BITI typically reaches +1.85% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 345
Gap Up % 38.0%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +0.95%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BITI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:27:18 $23.55 -0.13% -0.81% -0.87% -1.10% -2.55% +0.34% -0.04% +0.08% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:29:30 $23.02 +0.12% -0.30% -0.04% -0.09% +1.74% +2.19% -0.43% - WIN
2025-02-07 09:29:56 $22.32 +0.43% -0.27% +0.31% +1.21% +4.30% +4.53% -0.54% - WIN
2025-02-04 09:27:16 $22.48 -0.71% -1.11% -0.98% -0.04% +0.31% +1.07% -1.78% -0.18% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:25:58 $23.42 -0.56% -1.49% -1.41% -3.46% -6.19% +0.15% -0.21% -0.21% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:25:27 $22.11 +0.17% -0.36% -1.31% -0.54% -0.59% +1.81% -1.49% -0.09% WIN
2025-01-23 09:28:02 $21.79 -1.33% -2.07% -2.52% -1.90% -1.24% -0.04% -0.04% -0.18% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:27:36 $21.31 +0.05% +0.30% - -0.05% +0.19% +1.15% -0.66% -0.19% WIN
2025-01-21 09:29:06 $21.2 +0.75% +1.23% +1.70% +1.24% -1.13% +2.17% -0.28% -0.19% WIN
2025-01-15 09:27:51 $22.5 -0.13% +0.09% -0.64% -0.84% -0.62% +0.42% -0.93% +0.22% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:25:10 $23.08 -0.35% -0.56% +0.37% +0.24% +0.13% +1.52% -0.78% -0.17% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:28:36 $24.54 +0.81% -0.69% -1.07% -1.49% -2.85% +1.55% -0.08% -0.04% WIN
2025-01-10 09:25:18 $23.6 +0.30% +0.72% +0.59% +1.44% -0.30% +2.50% -0.13% -0.04% WIN
2025-01-08 09:26:48 $23.41 +0.11% +0.11% +0.08% +0.38% +1.32% +2.99% -0.77% -0.13% WIN
2024-12-31 09:29:59 $23.36 +0.17% +0.15% +0.09% +0.30% +2.74% +2.95% -0.43% - WIN
2024-12-26 09:26:04 $23.33 +0.21% -0.13% +0.43% -0.34% +0.21% +0.68% -0.17% +0.04% WIN
2024-12-20 09:29:05 $23.59 -0.36% -0.68% -0.30% -1.87% -1.23% +0.34% -0.02% +0.17% LOSS
2024-12-17 09:27:15 $20.94 -0.17% -0.05% -0.81% +1.53% +0.76% +1.81% -0.86% -0.19% LOSS
2024-12-16 09:27:24 $21.63 -0.30% -1.11% -0.91% -2.33% -1.62% - - - LOSS
2024-12-09 09:25:01 $22.87 - -0.52% -1.36% +0.48% +2.71% +2.84% -1.49% - -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 67.2% Baseline on BITI

The 67.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BITI's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BITI Strategy →

Why Analyze BITI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BITI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BITI historically offers an average upside of +1.85% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BITI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 67.2%, BITI shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BITI performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +160.75%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.