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BITU Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 181 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-04-05 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

ProShares Ultra Bitcoin ETF
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Apr 02, 2024
📊
181
Total Alerts
🎯
53.6%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.15%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+3.33%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.9%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.61%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +2.80%
Worst: -2.13%
Trades: 74/104

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.9%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.94%
Avg Loser: -0.95%
Best: +6.04%
Worst: -3.90%
Trades: 94/86

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.5%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +1.42%
Avg Loser: -1.30%
Best: +10.52%
Worst: -4.45%
Trades: 95/86

60MIN

Win Rate: 53.6%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.83%
Avg Loser: -1.80%
Best: +17.03%
Worst: -7.16%
Trades: 97/84

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 49.2%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +3.44%
Avg Loser: -3.42%
Best: +17.63%
Worst: -11.77%
Trades: 89/92

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.33%
Best MFE: +28.51%
Avg Time to MFE: 157 min

On average, BITU alerts reach +3.33% profit potential within 157 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.16%
Worst MAE: -5.82%
Avg Time to MAE: 27 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.16%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.87:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.87x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 181 alerts, BITU typically reaches +3.33% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 181
Gap Up % 52.5%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +1.10%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BITU alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:45 $49.8 +0.30% +1.21% +1.22% -0.24% +1.22% +4.88% -0.90% -0.06% WIN
2025-02-13 09:27:23 $49.19 -0.16% -0.51% -0.39% +0.02% +0.59% +1.04% -1.44% -0.04% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:29:35 $47.86 +1.13% +1.53% +1.57% +2.13% +5.08% +6.46% -0.48% -0.02% WIN
2025-02-11 09:29:52 $50.23 -0.16% +0.66% +0.36% +0.24% -3.46% +0.94% -0.34% - LOSS
2025-02-10 09:28:37 $51.13 +0.25% -0.55% -0.88% -1.32% -0.88% +0.67% -0.29% -0.14% WIN
2025-02-07 09:28:48 $53.35 -0.58% +0.43% +0.09% -2.38% -8.00% +0.92% -1.18% -0.17% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:26:29 $51.73 -0.02% +0.23% -0.46% -1.26% -2.57% +1.62% -0.39% +0.12% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:29:56 $52.43 +0.17% +0.36% -0.63% -0.95% -3.11% +0.92% -0.78% -0.11% WIN
2025-02-04 09:26:14 $52.78 +0.80% +2.20% +2.23% +0.49% -0.99% +3.83% -1.50% +0.49% WIN
2025-02-03 09:27:23 $48.06 +2.14% +3.06% +3.95% +8.43% +14.98% +17.04% -0.73% -0.02% WIN
2025-01-31 09:28:37 $60.36 -0.46% -0.25% -0.25% +1.16% -6.05% +2.93% -1.06% +0.20% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:29:18 $60.86 +0.30% +0.58% +1.84% +1.05% -0.16% +3.07% -0.30% +0.03% WIN
2025-01-29 09:29:03 $57.65 -0.03% -0.10% -0.26% -0.36% +4.18% +5.33% -1.56% -0.09% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:28:08 $58.06 +0.16% -0.59% +0.50% +1.52% -2.46% +2.53% -0.93% -0.02% WIN
2025-01-27 09:27:30 $56.06 +1.05% +0.65% +2.93% +1.68% +1.57% +3.32% -0.70% -0.07% WIN
2025-01-24 09:29:47 $61.55 -0.76% +1.51% +0.94% +0.71% -0.99% +3.57% -1.25% +0.07% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:27:17 $57.95 +2.74% +4.50% +5.28% +3.83% +2.04% +9.37% -0.14% +0.12% WIN
2025-01-22 09:27:37 $60.57 -0.13% -0.59% +0.12% +0.10% -0.31% +1.43% -1.65% +0.36% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:26:01 $61.58 -0.54% -3.90% -3.73% -3.25% +1.67% +4.01% -4.84% -0.10% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:28:06 $58.96 +0.20% -0.81% +1.02% +2.05% +3.68% +6.21% -0.95% -0.17% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 53.6% Baseline on BITU

The 53.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BITU's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BITU Strategy →

Why Analyze BITU with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BITU. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BITU historically offers an average upside of +3.33% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BITU Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.6%, BITU shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BITU performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.15%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.